UFC 204 – Bisping vs Henderson 2 – Preview

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October 8, Manchester Arena, Manchester, England

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Really looking forward to this event. Great to finally have a British UFC champion, and even better for him to be defending his belt on home soil. The only down side is the timings being set to suit US PPV. Still, can’t have everything I guess.

Bisping vs Henderson

I was one of the few people to put my money where Bisping’s mouth was when he won the title back at UFC 199 in June. I also think he’s a better fighter than Dan Henderson, and if they fought 10 times, Bisping probably wins 7 or even 8 of them. There’s no way Bisping goes down to another shuffle-shuffle-H Bomb in his home town. Got to back a revenge win and sending Hendo to the retirement home.

Vitor Belfort vs Gegard Mousasi

These two have an astonishing 84 professional MMA fights between them. Even though Mousasi actually has 10 more fights on his record, it feels like he’s still on the ascendancy, and Vitor is more winding his career down. You have to go all the way back to 2005 to find Mousasi’s only loss in Europe and if he can avoid the spinning shit for the first 5 minutes, I fancy him to keep the momentum he has going and win his third in a row here.

Ovince Saint Preux vs Jimi Manua

This is a tough call. OSP is coming of a 5 round war with Jon Jones, where even with a fucked up hand, he took the P4P UFC Douche Bag champ the distance. Jimi’s only two losses have come to Anthony Johnson and Alexander Gustafsson. Even though the bookies have OSP as favourite, I like Manua, buoyed by a UK crowd, to get the upset.

Stefan Struve vs Daniel Omielanczuk

Omielanczuk is a late replacement for Ruslan Magomedov and although he’s riding a three fight winning streak, Struve represents a significant jump in class from his opponents so far in his career. Got to favour the big Dutchman.

Mirsad Bektic vs Russell Doane

The rest of the card looks a lot like guesswork and I wouldn’t normally get involved, but this opener of the main card is backable. Doane is a late replacement who’s lost his last three, facing a 10-0 Bekitic. Easy pick there.

betJust going for a single bet of £10 returning £73.22

Bisping to beat Henderson

Gegard Mousasi to beat Vitor Belfort

Jimi Manua to beat Ovince Saint Preux

Stefan Struve to beat Daniel Omielanczuk

Mirsad Bektic to beat Russell Doane

Remember, by clicking on the Paddy Power banner at the top of this page, opening an account, and doing your sports betting there, you are supporting MMA Flashback, for which I am very grateful.

MMA Flash back encourages you to gamble responsibly and within your limits. If gambling stops being fun, stop. If you feel you have a problem with gambling, seek help from GAMCARE. They can be reached on 0808 8020 133 or http://www.gamcare.org.uk.

I’ll be watching all the build up to this event, plus the exclusive prelims on UFC Fight Pass. There’s also a fantastic collection of original shows and an incredible fight library you can lose yourself in for weeks. To support MMA Flashback, you can click on the banner below and sign up today. You won’t regret it.

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UFC 198 Werdum vs Miocic – Preview

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May 14, 2016, Arena da Baixada in Curitiba, Brazil

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UFC 198 is an absolute cracker, and as I started to look up and down the card for who to get my money on, it became obvious which way I was going to go. Simply, this Saturday, I’m flying the Brazilian flag all night. It’s going to mean betting against some fighters I really like and would normally bet on, and a few of the Brazilian picks are shakier than others, but it’s the only way to go.

Main Card

I really like Stipe, and in normal circumstances, I’d be happy to get my money on him, but against Werdum in Brazil, backing the champ is a no brainer.

The co-main event is the only Brazil vs Brazil action, but Jacare is easy to get on against Vitor here. Should be a great fight, but Jacare all day.

I was going to back the Spider Goat to chalk up his first win since Stephan Bonner in 2012 (taking into account the Diaz win being overturned to a NC), but the damn injury bug bit again and he’s out. Get well soon Anderson.

Cyborg is surely the biggest favourite ever in a UFC fight, and I’m reluctant to put it in on principle. 1/14??

The most worrying bet on the main card is Shogun vs Corey Anderson. If this fight was happening anywhere else in the world, I’d be on Corey Anderson in a flash, but in Brazil, I think Shogun will find a way to win.

Prelims

The four Brazilians on this section of the card are all clear favourites. It breaks my heart to bet against Matt Brown, who’s one of my favourite fighters, but Damian Maia in Brazil must take this.

Fight Pass Prelims

Again, it’s the featured bout that worries me most of the opening three fights. The smart money should probably be on Pat Cummins, but Little Nog fighting in Brazil must be backed.

So the only question is, how to split them up to get maximum enjoyment from the card? My first thought was to just have three accumulators on the separate sections of the card, but if Shogun loses, my main card is dead early. Instead, I decided to put the two dicey bets together, the first and last three together, all the mid-card favourites, including the Cyborg fight ending in 1.5 rounds or under, and then for the hell of it, a big 10 fight accumulator, leaving out Little Nog, Shogun and Anderson Silva (if he gets sparked out to kill a massive bet like that, I’d be devastated).

Bet 1 – £5 returning £164.06

Werdum to beat Miocic

Souza to beat Belfort

Justino to beat Smith

Maia to beat Brown

Alves to beat Barerena

Santos to beat Marquardt

Lineker to beat Font

Trinaldo to beat Medeiros

Moraes to beat Chagas

Moicano to beat Tukhugov

Bet 2 – £5 returning £20.93

Maia to beat Brown

Alves to beat Barerena

Santos to beat Marquardt

Lineker to beat Font

Justino to beat Smith in under 1.5 rounds

Bet 3 – £5 returning £24.64

Trinaldo to beat Medeiros

Moraes to beat Chagas

Moicano to beat Tukhugov

Bet 4 – £5 returning £10.77 (rubbish having lost a fight from the treble)

Silva to beat Hall

Souza to beat Belfort

Werdum to beat Miocic

Bet 5 – £5 returning £36.09

Rua to beat Anderson

Nogueira to beat Cummins

bet 1

Remember, by clicking on the Paddy Power banner at the top of this page, opening an account, and doing your sports betting there, you are supporting MMA Flashback, for which I am very grateful.

MMA Flash back encourages you to gamble responsibly and within your limits. If gambling stops being fun, stop. If you feel you have a problem with gambling, seek help from GAMCARE. They can be reached on 0808 8020 133 or http://www.gamcare.org.uk.

I’ll be watching all the build up to this event, plus the exclusive prelims on UFC Fight Pass. There’s also a fantastic collection of original shows and an incredible fight library you can lose yourself in for weeks. To support MMA Flashback, you can click on the banner below and sign up today. You won’t regret it.