UFC on Fox – Maia vs Condit– Preview

August 27, 2016 at Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

To watch exclusive UFC fight cards, including exclusive prelims, hours of original programming, events from many other organisations and an enormous library of fights, click on the banner above and sign up for UFC Fight Pass. By doing so, you are also supporting MMA Flashback, for which I am hugely grateful.

Getting my excuses in early, I did think the four main card fights were all tough picks and I wasn’t all that confident of bagging all four for the win.

Jim Miller vs Joe Lauzon

I made a mistake in my build up, thinking Lauzon won the decision in these guys first fight back at UFC 155, when in fact it was Miller that took it. I agree with the two judges that gave it 29-28 to Miller, which unfortunately kills my bet right out of the gate. Not quite the spectacle their first fight was, but still an entertaining battle.

Paige VanZant vs Bec Rawlins

What a return for Paige VanZant? At times the first round looked a bit ‘style over substance’ but when one of the spinning kicks she’d been throwing landed flush early in the 2nd round and put Rawlins away, you could see why she kept going that way. Something for the highlight reel on her return.

Anthony Pettis vs Charles Oliveira

Going into the 3rd round even, the smart money was on Pettis fading due to the big weight cut and Oliveira winning the later ground exchanges. However, Pettis found a guillotine and got the win. I still don’t like Pettis at 145lbs but that win has bought him some time to regroup and get his career back on track. I suspect by this time next year he’ll be back up to 155lbs, but we’ll see.

Damian Maia vs Carlos Condit

Wow, great performance by Maia against a seriously dangerous opponent. That’s 6 in a row and he must now be right at the front of the line to fight the winner of Woodley vs Thompson. What a nice fella too. Really hope Condit doesn’t walk away from the Octagon. He always delivers a thrilling fight and the promotion would be much the poorer for him leaving. Wouldn’t blame him for following Rory MacDonald over to Bellator though.

I’m going to stick to the main card this time round and just the one bet:

£10 returning £0

Damian Maia to beat Carlos Condit – win

Charles Oliveira  to beat Anthony Pettis – lose

Paige VanZant to beat Bec Rawlins – win

Joe Lauzon  to beat Jim Miller – lose

I do all my betting on Paddy Power because they offer a wide range of sports betting, including good coverage of MMA events. If you would like to place a bet on MMA or anything else, you would be greatly supporting the site by clicking on the banner below, creating a Paddy Power account and doing it there.

MMA Flash back encourages you to gamble responsibly and within your limits. If gambling stops being fun, stop. If you feel you have a problem with gambling, seek help from GAMCARE. They can be reached on 0808 8020 133 or http://www.gamcare.org.uk.

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UFC on Fox – Maia vs Condit– Preview

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August 27, 2016 at Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Paddy Power offer a wide range of sports betting, including good coverage of MMA events. If you would like to place a bet on MMA or anything else, you would be greatly supporting the site by clicking on the banner above, creating a Paddy Power account and doing it there.

As is often the case with these UFN / UFC on Fox cards, there are no easy picks on it. Lots of really close fights expected.

Damian Maia vs Carlos Condit

Maia is on a tear, winning his last 5, most recently submitting the always game Matt Brown. Under normal circumstances, he’d be easy to back, but betting money against Carlos Condit is not something people who like money do often. Although he’s lost 4 of his last 6, those loses were to the last four welterweight champions. The money does have to go on Maia, but I’m expecting him to have to go through a war to get there.

Anthony Pettis vs Charles Oliveira

Pettis is heading down to Featherweight after losing three on the bounce. I’m struggling to imagine him at 145 as he’s pretty big for 155. Oliveira is no joke and is coming off a high profile win over up and comer Myles Jury. Prior to that a loss to Max Holloway ended a 5 fight win streak. This fight all depends how the cut goes for Pettis. Oliveira has missed weight a few times himself so isn’t likely to be much smaller than Pettis. I think I’m leaning towards the Brazilian.

Paige VanZant vs Bec Rawlins

The Paige hype train got derailed back in December when Thug Rose beat the bejesus out of her for 4 ½ rounds. She’s had a nice long break to do some dancing on the telly, and now she’s back in the cage to try and get the fighting back on track. Rawlins has won her last two, both in Aus, but hasn’t won on the road in over 3 years. This is a tough test for Paige to come back to, but I feel like this is where we really find out what she’s made of, and I think she’ll come through it with a win.

Jim Miller vs Joe Lauzon

This is the hardest of the lot to pick. Miller got back in the win column with a 1st round knock out of Takinori Gomi at UFC 200 and I finally got a chance to win money backing him. However, Lauzon was also a winner on the same card finishing Diego Sanchez just as quickly and devastatingly. They’ve met before, when Lauzon took a decision win back at UFC 155 in July 2012. That was fight of the night, and this one is a candidate to be the same. I’m leaning towards Lauzon to win again, but it’s no more than a gut feeling.

bet (1)I’m going to stick to the main card this time round and just the one bet:

£10 returning £123.66

Damian Maia to beat Carlos Condit

Charles Oliveira  to beat Anthony Pettis

Paige VanZant to beat Bec Rawlins

Joe Lauzon  to beat Jim Miller

Remember, by clicking on the Paddy Power banner at the top of this page, opening an account, and doing your sports betting there, you are supporting MMA Flashback, for which I am very grateful.

MMA Flash back encourages you to gamble responsibly and within your limits. If gambling stops being fun, stop. If you feel you have a problem with gambling, seek help from GAMCARE. They can be reached on 0808 8020 133 or http://www.gamcare.org.uk.

I’ll be watching all the build up to this event, plus the exclusive prelims on UFC Fight Pass. There’s also a fantastic collection of original shows and an incredible fight library you can lose yourself in for weeks. To support MMA Flashback, you can click on the banner below and sign up today. You won’t regret it.


UFC 202 – McGregor vs Diaz 2 – Results

 August 20, 2016 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, USA

To watch exclusive UFC fight cards, including exclusive prelims, hours of original programming, events from many other organisations and an enormous library of fights, click on the banner above and sign up for UFC Fight Pass. By doing so, you are also supporting MMA Flashback, for which I am hugely grateful.

Nine predictions for this card with a total possible return of just over £900 from £31 staked, but there’s some very speculative picks on there so I wasn’t banking on anything.

Neil Magny vs Lorenz Larkin

Larkin looked absolutely savage, stopping Neil Magny, something Hector Lombard failed to do earlier this year. Watch out Welterweights. That’s a couple of my bets falling at the first hurdle, but it’s a long night.

Randa Markos vs Cortney Casey

After a shaky start, Casey had to fight her way out of a bad position and in the last seconds of the 1st round, found an armbar finish. Good effort.

Artem Lobov vs Chris Avila

Lobov finally adds a UFC win to his record, completely out-performing Avila, and chalks one up in the Dublin vs Stockton battle too. Still a little unconvincing from the Russian Hammer, as Avila offered little offensively and still saw the final bell.

Raquel Pennington vs Elizabeth Phillips

A hard fought victory for Pennington. It wasn’t pretty, but sometimes they just have to be ground out.

Cody Garbrandt vs Takeya Mizugaki

The fight opened up with Joe Rogan rabbiting on about how being such a big favourite in the fight could be a disadvantage to Garbrandt, causing him to take Mizugaki lightly. Cody soon shut that up with an early KO. As expected, with a bit of prompting from Rogan, Garbrandt took the opportunity to promise Dominick Cruz a broken jaw at the earliest opportunity.

Tim Means vs Sabah Homasi

Ah well, I did say the upset bets were just for fun. Means was an entirely different class to Homasi and by half way through the 1st round it was looking a case of not if, but when he’d get the finish.

Hyun Gyu Lim vs Mike Perry

Upset number two does come in, with Mike Perry beating the snot out of Hyun Gyu Lim. Will certainly be interested in his next outing.

Rick Story vs Donald Cerrone

COWBOY!! Story gave a decent account of himself in a 1st round that Cerrone probably won, but round 2 was all Cowboy and he bagged the show reel combination stoppage. I hope UFC give him the 155lbs title match against Alverez he’s asking for. If they do, my money will be straight on him.

Anthony Johnson vs Glover Teixeira

Rumble executed Glover in under a minute. Holy shit, that guy is a killer. It’s a good job he’s such a nice guy, because if he decided to go on a rampage, I’m not sure there’s much we could collectively do to stop him. Get ready DC, Rumble is coming for a second crack at your belt.

McGregor vs Diaz

What an incredible fight?! One and a half rounds in, it was looking like it might be a clinical and dominant win for Conor, but never count Nate Diaz out, who turned it into a war. I had it 10-8, 10-10, 9-10, 10-9, 9-10 so 48-47 overall. Two judges had the same score as me and another gave it a draw. Fantastic scrap, and for gods’ sake Conor, make that the last bout at 170lbs. Back to 145lbs to defend/unify that belt. There are other 155lbs I’d like to see both guys fight before they meet again, but I’m sure we’ll see the rubber match at some point.

So, 6/9 right a very small profit for the card:

Bet 1 – £10 returning £0.00

Neil Magny to beat Lorenz Larkin – lose

Cortney Casey to beat Randa Markos – win

Chris Aliva to beat Artem Lobov – lose

Raquel Pennington to beat Elizabeth Phillips – win

Bet 2 – £10 returning £0.00

Cody Garbrandt to beat Takeya Mizugaki – win

Sabah Homasi to beat Tim Means – lose

Mike Perry to beat Hyun Gyu Lim – win

Bet 3 – £10 returned £43.62

Donald Cerone to beat Rick Story – win

Anthony Johnson to beat Glover Teixeira – win

McGregor to beat Diaz – win

Bet 4 – £1 returning £0.00

Neil Magny to beat Lorenz Larkin – lose

Cortney Casey to beat Randa Markos – win

Chris Aliva to beat Artem Lobov – lose

Raquel Pennington to beat Elizabeth Phillips – win

Cody Garbrandt to beat Takeya Mizugaki – win

Sabah Homasi to beat Tim Means – lose

Mike Perry to beat Hyun Gyu Lim – win

Donald Cerone to beat Rick Story – win

Anthony Johnson to beat Glover Teixeira – win

McGregor to beat Diaz – win

Bet settled

I do all my betting on Paddy Power because they offer a wide range of sports betting, including good coverage of MMA events. If you would like to place a bet on MMA or anything else, you would be greatly supporting the site by clicking on the banner below, creating a Paddy Power account and doing it there.

MMA Flash back encourages you to gamble responsibly and within your limits. If gambling stops being fun, stop. If you feel you have a problem with gambling, seek help from GAMCARE. They can be reached on 0808 8020 133 or http://www.gamcare.org.uk.

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Ultimate Fight Night – Holm vs Shevchenko – Results


July 23, 2016 at United Center, Chicago, Illinois, USA

To watch exclusive UFC fight cards, including exclusive prelims, hours of original programming, events from many other organisations and an enormous library of fights, click on the banner above and sign up for UFC Fight Pass. By doing so, you are also supporting MMA Flashback, for which I am hugely grateful.

After the combat overdose of Fight Week, I needed a break and skipped the previous UFC Fight Night. Back in the saddle for this one for a four fight accumulator on the main card.

Felice Herrig vs Kallin Curran

Close one, my arse, Herrig made that look easy. She opened up with some crisp striking, then on the ground was in complete control, getting the early submission and we’re off to a winning start.

Francis Ngannou vs Bojan Mihajlovic

Ngannou made all his height, reach, weight and experience advantages over Mihajlovic count, getting an early TKO stoppage. There’s an argument Herb Dean was a bit quick to step in, but Ngannou was winning that all day.

Edson Barboza vs Gilbert Melendez

My left leg is bruised just watching Edson Barboza. All credit to Melendez for surviving the full 15 minutes, but an easy decision for the judges and Barboza marches on.

Holly Holm vs Valentina Shevchenko

Although she never had Holm in any danger of being stopped this was a comfortable decision win for Shevchenko. I had it the same way as all three judges, giving Holm the 1st round and Shevchenko the rest. Although she’s holding her own at 135, I feel like Shevchenko needs a 125 division to really shine.

Another nice win booked and the profit for the year continues to grow.

£10 returned £86.25

Shevchenko to beat Holm – win

Barboza to beat Melendez – win

Ngannou to beat Mihajlovic – win

Herrig to beat Curran – win

Bet settled

Plenty of good fights in the upcoming UFC 201 to get my teeth into. Time to get studying.

I do all my betting on Paddy Power because they offer a wide range of sports betting, including good coverage of MMA events. If you would like to place a bet on MMA or anything else, you would be greatly supporting the site by clicking on the banner above, creating a Paddy Power account and doing it there.

MMA Flashback encourages you to gamble responsibly and within your limits. If gambling stops being fun, stop. If you feel you have a problem with gambling, seek help from GAMCARE. They can be reached on 0808 8020 133 or http://www.gamcare.org.uk.

 

Ultimate Fight Night – Holm vs Shevchenko – Preview

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July 23, 2016 at United Center, Chicago, Illinois, USA

Paddy Power offer a wide range of sports betting, including good coverage of MMA events. If you would like to place a bet on MMA or anything else, you would be greatly supporting the site by clicking on the banner above, creating a Paddy Power account and doing it there.

As seems to be increasingly the case, this UFN is not filled with exciting bets. I’m sure the fight card will be entertaining, but in terms of where to put my money, it’s not thrilling me. So, I’m going to have an interest bet on the main card only.

Holly Holm vs Valentina Shevchenko

I won’t pretend to have picked Holly Holm to beat Ronda Rousey back in November, but sooner or later the long-time champ was going to get caught by a striker. Before that, if we’re honest, Holm wasn’t always especially convincing. Shevchenko is coming of a loss to the new champ, Amanda Nunes, although she did take her the distance. I’m picking Shevchenko to get the upset here in a striking war against Holm.

Edson Barboza vs Gilbert Melendez

Barboza is a straight up killer and win or lose, you know what to expect from him. The UFC continues to line up fighters that will go to war with him and Gilbert Melendez is no exception. Although Gil’s 1-3 since joining the UFC, he’s going to stand in front of Barboza and throw down. I agree with the bookies that Barboza is a solid favourite and that’s where my money is going.

Francis Ngannou vs Bojan Mihajlovic

Ngannou was impressive when he fought on the Fight Night card in Croatia in April and was part of a winning bet for me. He’s a massive favourite to beat debutant Mihajlovic, and although the odds are terrible, I have to include it in the bet.

Felice Herrig vs Kallin Curran

This is the toughest pick of all four main card fights and the bookies have them even too. On the basis that Herrig has more experience against higher level opposition, I’m giving her the nod, but it’s a close one.

Bet
So in terms of the bet, nothing fancy, just a four fight accumulator

£10 returning £86.25

Shevchenko to beat Holm

Barboza to beat Melendez

Ngannou to beat Mihajlovic

Herrig to beat Curran

Remember, by clicking on the Paddy Power banner at the top of this page, opening an account, and doing your sports betting there, you are supporting MMA Flashback, for which I am very grateful.

MMA Flash back encourages you to gamble responsibly and within your limits. If gambling stops being fun, stop. If you feel you have a problem with gambling, seek help from GAMCARE. They can be reached on 0808 8020 133 or http://www.gamcare.org.uk.

I’ll be watching all the build up to this event, plus the exclusive prelims on UFC Fight Pass. There’s also a fantastic collection of original shows and an incredible fight library you can lose yourself in for weeks. To support MMA Flashback, you can click on the banner below and sign up today. You won’t regret it.


Ultimate Fight Night – MacDonald vs Thompson – Preview

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June 18, 2016 at TD Place Arena, Ottawa, Canada

Paddy Power offer a wide range of sports betting, including good coverage of MMA events. If you would like to place a bet on MMA or anything else, you would be greatly supporting the site by clicking on the banner above, creating a Paddy Power account and doing it there.

I got another one in the win column at the last event, backing Michael Bisping to beat Luke Rockhold. I didn’t land my other seven fight accumulator, so as it stands, I’m still tantalisingly close to the 1000% ROI point for the year’s betting. Hopefully I can reach that milestone this weekend.

Rory MacDonald vs Steven Thompson

There’s a lot of hype building around Stephen ‘Wonder Boy’ Thompson, and rightly so. The only blemish on his record is a decision loss to Matt Brown in his second UFC fight, way back in 2012, and that’s no blemish at all really. In his last two outings he put Jake Ellenberger and Johny Hendricks away. The kid is a killer. With all that said, I’m backing Rory MacDonald to win this fight. His only losses have been to Carlos Condit, again in his second UFC fight in 2011, plus two losses in incredible wars with Robbie Lawler. MacDonald has struggled to reach terms with the UFC to renew his contract and has talked about testing the free agency market after this fight. With that in mind, plus the fight being in Canada, I think we’re going to see MacDonald at the top of his game, and that might be enough to derail the Thompson hype train.

Donald Cerrone vs Patrick Cote

I love having money on Cowboy because the bet is live till the final bell. Also, I like him as a Welterweight. Two losses to Rafael Dos Anjos break up what would otherwise have been a 10 fight winning streak. Cote will give Cowboy a war on the feet, and it could be a real barn-burner, but if it gets a bit too hot standing, Cowboy has a big advantage on the ground which could be the difference. Easy to back Cerrone here.

Steve Bosse vs Sean O’Connell

I was on Steve Bosse when he beat James Te Huna in Brisbaine in March. Although there’s no particularly strong reason to back either fighter in this bout, O’Connell is a very likable chap, having fun and giving gifts at weigh ins and stare downs. I’m going to get on him for the fun of it, partly because the next two fights I’m backing solid bookies’ favourites.

Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs Thibault Gouti

On Neutral ground, this could be a chance to back an upset, but with home-field advantage, and with Gouti coming off a loss, I think it just about makes Aubin-Mercier backable.

Valerie Letourneau vs Joanne Calderwood

I’ve been trying to find justification to back Jo Calderwood here. She’s got heart for days and she’s extremely likable. However, Letourneau took Joanna Jedrzejcyyk the distance back in November, and I think she represents a big jump up in class for Calderwood to deal with. Again, on neutral ground or even a UK card, I might bet with my heart and back Calderwood, but in Canada, I have to be sensible and back Letourneau.

I’ve got no strong feelings about the prelims, but have decided to have an interest bet on a few of them. I’ve got a free bet from Paddy Power to roll into it, so why not. These are shameless punt-bets on little or no solid information:

Jason Saggo vs Leandro Silva

Saggo due to home advantage.

Misha Cirkunov vs Ion Cutelba

Cirkunov as it’s Cutelba’s UFC debut.

Krzystof Jokto vsTamden McCrory

Jokto as he has the longer active win streak.

Joe Soto vs Chris Beal

This a 3 fight losing streak vs a 2 fight losing streak. No one ever got rich betting on prospects like that, so not getting involved with this one.

The Fight Pass prelims is some real finger in the air stuff, so I think we’ll call it quits there.

So the bets will be:

Bet 1 – £10 returning £32.31

Rory MacDonald vs Steven Thompson

Donald Cerrone vs Patrick Cote

Bet 2 – £10 returning £45.69

Sean O’Connell to beat Steve Bosse

Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs Thibault Gouti

Valerie Letourneau vs Joanne Calderwood

Bet 3 – £10 (including £5 free bet) returning £58.25

Jason Saggo to beat Leandro Silva

Misha Cirkunov to beat Ion Cutelba

Krzystof Jokto to beat Tamden McCrory

bet 1 (1)

Remember, by clicking on the Paddy Power banner at the top of this page, opening an account, and doing your sports betting there, you are supporting MMA Flashback, for which I am very grateful.

MMA Flash back encourages you to gamble responsibly and within your limits. If gambling stops being fun, stop. If you feel you have a problem with gambling, seek help from GAMCARE. They can be reached on 0808 8020 133 or http://www.gamcare.org.uk.

I’ll be watching all the build up to this event, plus the exclusive prelims on UFC Fight Pass. There’s also a fantastic collection of original shows and an incredible fight library you can lose yourself in for weeks. To support MMA Flashback, you can click on the banner below and sign up today. You won’t regret it.


UFC Fight Night – Almeida vs Garbrandt

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May 29, 2016. Mandalay Bay Events Center, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA.

Paddy Power offer a wide range of sports betting, including good coverage of MMA events. If you would like to place a bet on MMA or anything else, you would be greatly supporting the site by clicking on the banner above, creating a Paddy Power account and doing it there.

After having money on every fight on the previous UFC 198 card, I’m limiting my bets to the main card of this UFC Fight Night.

Thomas Almeida vs Cody Garbrandt

Someone’s 0 must go in the main event and that seems most likely to be Garbrandt’s. Almeida is the more experienced fighter, and he’s a finisher. Should be a belter too, as Almeida has picked up performance bonuses in all four of his UFC bouts so far.

Renan Barao vs Jeremy Stephens

Stephens is a tough night for anyone, but Renan Barao at Featherweight is an exciting prospect. Easy to get behind the former Bantamweight champ here.

Tarec Saffiedine vs Rick Story

Saffiedine is listed as the favourite for the fight, and justifiably so. His record is littered with big welterweight names. His last outing was a hard-fought decision win over Jake Ellenberger. Prior to that, he was stopped for the first time in his career by Rory McDonald, but Saffiedine usually goes the distance and usually wins. Rick Story’s last win was an impressive win over Gunnar Nelson who he suffocated for three full rounds. However, that was all the way back in October 2014 and Saffiedine is a bad match up for a comeback fight. Saffiedine goes on the coupon.

Chris Camozzi vs Vitor Miranda

I was on Miranda back in UFC 196, when he knocked out Marcelo Guimaraes for me. He usually finishes fighters by KO/TKO, but in his 23-10 record, Camozzi has never been stopped on his feet. It’ll be interesting to see what happens if Miranda can’t get Camozzi out of there early, but I’m still happy to back him to win.

Jorge Masvidal vs Lorenz Larkin

After switching to Welterweight in 2015, Larkin chalked up a couple of decent wins, but his last outing was a loss to Russian striker Albert Tumerov in January. Masvidal’s last outing was back in November 2015 where he took Benson Henderson to a close decision. I like Masvidal to out-strike Larkin and get the win here.

Josh Burkman vs Paul Felder

After a couple of thrilling wars with Edson Barboza and Ross Pearson where the judges went against him, Paul Felder got himself back in the win column in January against Daron Cruickshank. Although Burkman is tough as nails and will push him hard, I think Felder’s heavy striking will win the day.

There’s nothing in the prelims that take my fancy, so I’m going for:

Bet 1 – £5 returning £24.38

Miranda to beat Camozzi

Masvidal to beat Larkin

Felder to beat Burkman

Bet 2 – £5 returning £21.39

Almeida to beat Garbrandt

Barao to beat Stephens

Saffiedine to beat Story

Bet 3 – £5 returning £104.28

Almeida to beat Garbrandt

Barao to beat Stephens

Saffiedine to beat Story

Miranda to beat Camozzi

Masvidal to beat Larkin

Felder to beat Burkman

Bet

Remember, by clicking on the Paddy Power banner at the top of this page, opening an account, and doing your sports betting there, you are supporting MMA Flashback, for which I am very grateful.

MMA Flash back encourages you to gamble responsibly and within your limits. If gambling stops being fun, stop. If you feel you have a problem with gambling, seek help from GAMCARE. They can be reached on 0808 8020 133 or http://www.gamcare.org.uk.

I’ll be watching all the build up to this event, plus the exclusive prelims on UFC Fight Pass. There’s also a fantastic collection of original shows and an incredible fight library you can lose yourself in for weeks. To support MMA Flashback, you can click on the banner below and sign up today. You won’t regret it.