UFC 197 – Jones vs Saint Preux – Results

April 23, 2016 at MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA.

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I had two accumulators on UFC 197, all focused on the main PPV card, starting with:

Yair Rodriguez vs Andre Fili

Rodriguez comfortably won the first round in both the standing and ground exchanges. The second round started much the same, until Rodriquez timed a jumping left roundhouse kick that knocked Fili clean out. Great start to the PPV and to my betting slip.

Robert Whittaker vs Rafael Natal

Next up, I had Robert Whittaker to beat Rafael Natal. Whitaker had a clear advantage in the striking and rang Natal’s bell a couple of times towards the end of round 1. Natal had some success in the 2nd round with leg kicks, which Mike and Joe obsessed over in commentary. Whittaker still had the better of things in my opinion and had two rounds in the books after 10 minutes. As well as a badly bruised left leg, Whittaker seemed to be dealing with a damaged right hand, but solid jabs and hooks with the left were the difference and he comfortably wins the round on my card. Whittaker almost found a finish in the last 30 seconds, but settles for a solid decision win. Only one judge agreed with Joe Rogan in giving Natal the 2nd round. The other two agreed with me and gave Whittaker all three.

Anthony Pettis vs Edson Barboza

So I needed Edson Barboza to upset the odds and beat Anthony Pettis to nail my first bet of the card. Tough to score round 1, with Pettis landing more volume, but Barboza undoubtedly landing the heavier shots. Similar story in the 2nd round, maybe closer still. Barboza opened up in the final round, especially chewing up the lead leg of Pettis. Deserved decision win earned by Edson Barboza, and my treble comes in.

Demetrious Johnson vs Henry Cejudo

So, with money in the bank from the previous three bouts, I’m looking at Demetrious Johnson to get my main/co-main double off to a winning start. Again, DJ makes it look easy, knocking Cejudo out in the first round.  Hard to argue with Joe Rogan’s constant pimping of Johnson as the P4P king.

Jon Jones vs Ovince Saint Preux

So for a perfect night of bets, I just needed for Ovince Saint Preux to upset the odds and ruin Jon Jones’ comeback. For the record, it was always a ‘bet with the heart, over the head’ situation here. I was taking the juicy odds, and also betting against a personality in Jon Jones that I just CAN’T get behind. The first three rounds were close with the only thing separate them, apart being the repeated side and oblique kicks to OSP’s knees. Jones put a stamp on the 4th with a takedown and some GnP, and also the huge slam in the 5th. There’s no doubt in my mind that Daniel Cormier would have soundly beaten that version of Jon Jones, but sadly for my bet, Ovince Saint Preux wasn’t quite up to the task tonight.

result

Bet 1

Rodriguez to beat Fili – win

Whitaker to beat Natal – win

Barbosa to beat Pettis – win

£5 returned £25.73

Bet 2

Johnson to beat Cejudo – win

Saint Preux to beat Jones – loss

£5 lost

Small profit for the night, but Jon ‘Moans’ Jones spoils the bigger of the two bets. Time to start planning the bets for UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski. Some cracking fights on that one to pick the bones out of.

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UFC 197 – Jones vs Saint Preux

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April 23, 2016 at MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA.

Paddy Power offer a wide range of sports betting, including good coverage of MMA events. If you would like to place a bet on MMA or anything else, you would be greatly supporting the site by clicking on the banner above, creating a Paddy Power account and doing it there.

I was planning to put my money on Daniel Cormier to beat Jon Jones in the main event of this card. Partly because the odds would likely to have been fairly juicy, partly because I think there are good reasons to think now would be a good time to face Jon Jones, given his extended break and recent troubles, but mostly because I can’t think of any situation where I’d want to cheer for Jon Jones. Amongst the best P4P fighters of all time; yes. A personality I can get behind; sorry, no.

Although I’m sure this card will be thoroughly entertaining, from a betting point of view, there aren’t all that many fights that jump out at me. Those that I am interested in are all on the main card:

Jon Jones vs Ovince Saint Preux

Before his time off, Jones’ last three title defences were 5 round wars, including the daylight robbery against Alex Gustafsson who clearly won that fight. With that said, he’s a justifiable favourite to win this weekend, but for the reasons above, I’ll be backing OSP.

Demetrious Johnson vs Henry Cejudo

Talking of P4P greats, Johnson is a huge favourite to retain his belt here. He was very disapproving when there was talk of the winner of a TUF season challenging for his belt, but to be fair, he’s cleaned the division out, so what else can the UFC do? The odds are so short on DJ to win, it’s not worth a standalone bet, but perhaps pairing up with OSP makes it worth including on the coupon.

Anthony Pettis vs Edson Barboza

Wow, what a barn-burner this one is likely to be. Barboza is a killer, and on his day, he’s capable of beating anyone in the division. Pettis is arguably the more well-rounded fighter, but has lost his last two and now seems like a good time for Barboza to catch him. If there was more on the cards to get my money on, I’d probably leave this one alone and just sit back and enjoy the fireworks. As I’m short of solid picks, I’m leaning towards Barboza due to the favourable odds.

Robert Whittaker vs Rafael Natal

This is another really tough fight to call. Both guys have won their last four fights against similar level opposition. The last couple of times I’ve watched Whittaker I’ve been left with a general “I like this kid a lot” feeling, so I’m happy to get my money behind him here.

Yair Rodriguez vs Andre Fili

While Fili has the experience advantage, Rodriguez has the momentum and is a slight bookies’ favourite as a result. I don’t have particularly strong feelings either way on this fight, as with the rest of the card, but I’m leaning towards Rodriguez, based mostly on the recent results.

Looking down the prelims, I’m even less confident picking winners than I am from the main card. So I’m splitting my very uncertain picks into the following two bets:

Bet 1 – £5 returning £25.73

Rodriguez to beat Fili

Whittaker to beat Natal

Barbosa to beat Pettis

Bet 2 – £5 returning £31.25

Johnson to beat Cejudo

Saint Preux to beat Jones

betting slip

Remember, by clicking on the Paddy Power banner at the top of this page, opening an account, and doing your sports betting there, you are supporting MMA Flashback, for which I am very grateful.

MMA Flash back encourages you to gamble responsibly and within your limits. If gambling stops being fun, stop. If you feel you have a problem with gambling, seek help from GAMCARE. They can be reached on 0808 8020 133 or http://www.gamcare.org.uk.

I’ll be watching all the build up to this event, plus the exclusive prelims on UFC Fight Pass. There’s also a fantastic collection of original shows and an incredible fight library you can lose yourself in for weeks. To support MMA Flashback, you can click on the banner below and sign up today. You won’t regret it.