UFC on Fox – Maia vs Condit– Preview

August 27, 2016 at Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

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Getting my excuses in early, I did think the four main card fights were all tough picks and I wasn’t all that confident of bagging all four for the win.

Jim Miller vs Joe Lauzon

I made a mistake in my build up, thinking Lauzon won the decision in these guys first fight back at UFC 155, when in fact it was Miller that took it. I agree with the two judges that gave it 29-28 to Miller, which unfortunately kills my bet right out of the gate. Not quite the spectacle their first fight was, but still an entertaining battle.

Paige VanZant vs Bec Rawlins

What a return for Paige VanZant? At times the first round looked a bit ‘style over substance’ but when one of the spinning kicks she’d been throwing landed flush early in the 2nd round and put Rawlins away, you could see why she kept going that way. Something for the highlight reel on her return.

Anthony Pettis vs Charles Oliveira

Going into the 3rd round even, the smart money was on Pettis fading due to the big weight cut and Oliveira winning the later ground exchanges. However, Pettis found a guillotine and got the win. I still don’t like Pettis at 145lbs but that win has bought him some time to regroup and get his career back on track. I suspect by this time next year he’ll be back up to 155lbs, but we’ll see.

Damian Maia vs Carlos Condit

Wow, great performance by Maia against a seriously dangerous opponent. That’s 6 in a row and he must now be right at the front of the line to fight the winner of Woodley vs Thompson. What a nice fella too. Really hope Condit doesn’t walk away from the Octagon. He always delivers a thrilling fight and the promotion would be much the poorer for him leaving. Wouldn’t blame him for following Rory MacDonald over to Bellator though.

I’m going to stick to the main card this time round and just the one bet:

£10 returning £0

Damian Maia to beat Carlos Condit – win

Charles Oliveira  to beat Anthony Pettis – lose

Paige VanZant to beat Bec Rawlins – win

Joe Lauzon  to beat Jim Miller – lose

I do all my betting on Paddy Power because they offer a wide range of sports betting, including good coverage of MMA events. If you would like to place a bet on MMA or anything else, you would be greatly supporting the site by clicking on the banner below, creating a Paddy Power account and doing it there.

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UFC on Fox – Maia vs Condit– Preview

468x60_AFF_Misc_MultiSport_BN_GBP
August 27, 2016 at Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Paddy Power offer a wide range of sports betting, including good coverage of MMA events. If you would like to place a bet on MMA or anything else, you would be greatly supporting the site by clicking on the banner above, creating a Paddy Power account and doing it there.

As is often the case with these UFN / UFC on Fox cards, there are no easy picks on it. Lots of really close fights expected.

Damian Maia vs Carlos Condit

Maia is on a tear, winning his last 5, most recently submitting the always game Matt Brown. Under normal circumstances, he’d be easy to back, but betting money against Carlos Condit is not something people who like money do often. Although he’s lost 4 of his last 6, those loses were to the last four welterweight champions. The money does have to go on Maia, but I’m expecting him to have to go through a war to get there.

Anthony Pettis vs Charles Oliveira

Pettis is heading down to Featherweight after losing three on the bounce. I’m struggling to imagine him at 145 as he’s pretty big for 155. Oliveira is no joke and is coming off a high profile win over up and comer Myles Jury. Prior to that a loss to Max Holloway ended a 5 fight win streak. This fight all depends how the cut goes for Pettis. Oliveira has missed weight a few times himself so isn’t likely to be much smaller than Pettis. I think I’m leaning towards the Brazilian.

Paige VanZant vs Bec Rawlins

The Paige hype train got derailed back in December when Thug Rose beat the bejesus out of her for 4 ½ rounds. She’s had a nice long break to do some dancing on the telly, and now she’s back in the cage to try and get the fighting back on track. Rawlins has won her last two, both in Aus, but hasn’t won on the road in over 3 years. This is a tough test for Paige to come back to, but I feel like this is where we really find out what she’s made of, and I think she’ll come through it with a win.

Jim Miller vs Joe Lauzon

This is the hardest of the lot to pick. Miller got back in the win column with a 1st round knock out of Takinori Gomi at UFC 200 and I finally got a chance to win money backing him. However, Lauzon was also a winner on the same card finishing Diego Sanchez just as quickly and devastatingly. They’ve met before, when Lauzon took a decision win back at UFC 155 in July 2012. That was fight of the night, and this one is a candidate to be the same. I’m leaning towards Lauzon to win again, but it’s no more than a gut feeling.

bet (1)I’m going to stick to the main card this time round and just the one bet:

£10 returning £123.66

Damian Maia to beat Carlos Condit

Charles Oliveira  to beat Anthony Pettis

Paige VanZant to beat Bec Rawlins

Joe Lauzon  to beat Jim Miller

Remember, by clicking on the Paddy Power banner at the top of this page, opening an account, and doing your sports betting there, you are supporting MMA Flashback, for which I am very grateful.

MMA Flash back encourages you to gamble responsibly and within your limits. If gambling stops being fun, stop. If you feel you have a problem with gambling, seek help from GAMCARE. They can be reached on 0808 8020 133 or http://www.gamcare.org.uk.

I’ll be watching all the build up to this event, plus the exclusive prelims on UFC Fight Pass. There’s also a fantastic collection of original shows and an incredible fight library you can lose yourself in for weeks. To support MMA Flashback, you can click on the banner below and sign up today. You won’t regret it.