UFC 203 – Miocic vs Overeem – Results

 September 10, 2016 at Quicken Loans Arena, Cleveland, Ohio, USA

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Jessica Andrade vs Joanne Calderwood

Argh. Jojo was weathering an early storm on the ground and was almost at the bell at the end of round 1, when she fell victim to a guillotine choke. Gutted for her, and for two of my three bets.

Uriah Faber vs Jimmie Rivera

Solid performance by Rivera, taking all three rounds. Certainly puts him in in the title picture and a big statement in his next fight, whoever that’s against could put him at the front of the line.

CM Punk vs Mickey Gall

Well, thanks for playing Phillip. Don’t let the door hit you on the way out. Poor fucker. Seems like a really nice guy, but if he wanted to be a fighter, he took the wrong career path a decade or more ago. Whatever he says, I’d be surprised if we see another appearance from him after that. Talking of nice guys, Gall sounds like a good kid too. Calling Sage Northcutt out now. Hope he gets it.

Fabricio Werdum vs Travis Browne

WTF is going on?!? Is Werdum the most creative striker in the Heavyweight division now? I guess that’s what can happen if you’re so much better on the ground than everyone else. He maybe needs to sharpen up his takedowns because he seems to be struggling to bridge the two ranges. Another win banked, but after a thrilling start, it petered out a bit. That was until after the final bell. Werdum was already reacting to the booing from a fairly shitty crowd, when Edmund Traverdyan said something that prompted a push kick from him, albeit a fairly light one. Lots of squaring up, and Babalu enters from the Brazilian corner to get involved too. Crazy scenes.

Stipe Miocic vs Allistair Overeem

Fuuuuckk. I thought Allistair had it when he straightened Stipe out for a split second, but he went for the guillotine and didn’t finish. For the rest of the round it looked like any strike from either guy could end the other’s night, but Stipe was the one that got there first. Great performance. After the fight Allistair claimed he felt a tap from the guillotine, but Joe Rogan and the replay truck called him out on it straight away. How embarrassing?! Afterwards Rogan made the point that Overeem had just been unconscious, so maybe he dreamed it while he was out.

So, 3/5 but a loss in each bet means nothing back.

Bet 1 – £10 returning £0.00

Jimmie Rivera to beat Uriah Faber – win

Joanne Calderwood to beat Jessica Andrade – lose

Bet 2 – £10 returning £0.00

Alistair Overeem  to beat Stipe Miocic – lose

Fabricio Werdum to beat Travis Browne – win

Mickey Gall to beat CM Punk – win

Bet 3 – £5 returning £0.00

Jimmie Rivera to beat Uriah Faber – win

Joanne Calderwood to beat Jessica Andrade – lose

Alistair Overeem  to beat Stipe Miocic – lose

Fabricio Werdum to beat Travis Browne – win

Mickey Gall to beat CM Punk – win

I do all my betting on Paddy Power because they offer a wide range of sports betting, including good coverage of MMA events. If you would like to place a bet on MMA or anything else, you would be greatly supporting the site by clicking on the banner below, creating a Paddy Power account and doing it there.

MMA Flash back encourages you to gamble responsibly and within your limits. If gambling stops being fun, stop. If you feel you have a problem with gambling, seek help from GAMCARE. They can be reached on 0808 8020 133 or http://www.gamcare.org.uk.

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UFC 203 – Miocic vs Overeem – Preview

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September 10, 2016 at Quicken Loans Arena, Cleveland, Ohio, USA

Paddy Power offer a wide range of sports betting, including good coverage of MMA events. If you would like to place a bet on MMA or anything else, you would be greatly supporting the site by clicking on the banner above, creating a Paddy Power account and doing it there.

Really torn on some of these fights, with several of my favourite fighters clashing. It’s going to be really difficult to pick sides.

Stipe Miocic vs Alistair Overeem

As much as I like Miocic, I was reluctantly on Werdum to beat him back in May. Although there’s no doubt he’s fought and put away a decent list of opponents, it does feel like he’s missed out on facing some huge names on the rosta, and they don’t come much bigger than Overeem. As much as I like the sound of Stipe’s 1st defence of his title in his home city, I feel like Alistair is going to spoil the party.

Fabricio Werdum vs Travis Browne

As I said above, I was backing Werdum in his title defence against Miocic, and as much as I like the current champ, it still feels like an upset. Werdum should get himself back in the win column, especially given the relatively short notice Browne is stepping in at.

CM Punk vs Mickey Gall

I keep changing my mind on how I feel about this fight, and also on CM Punk himself. I have absolutely no interest in professional wrestling so had no idea who this fella was until he got signed by the UFC a couple of years ago. When I heard about him, my first reaction was to hope the ACTOR got his ass kicked by whichever FIGHTER he eventually ended up facing. Having seen Gall on ‘Looking For A Fight’ I was happy to get behind him to spoil Punk’s long awaited debut. With all that said, everything I’ve seen of Punk makes me really like the chap. I do still think he’s going to lose, but I’m hoping he does well enough to earn everyone’s respect and buy himself a second fight down the line.

Uriah Faber vs Jimmie Rivera

It feels like we’re one bad loss away from Faber announcing his retirement. I’m really hoping we get to see him settle his beef in the cage with former teammate TJ Dillashaw before he does hang them up. However, if I’m right on the first count, we may never see that, because Rivera is riding an 18 fight win streak and has won three inside the Octagon in just over a year. I’m going to be backing Rivera to win this fight.

Jessica Andrade vs Joanne Calderwood

I reluctantly bet against Jo Calderwood in her last outing and couldn’t help be pleased that I was wrong. I really like her as a fighter and as a character, so I really didn’t mind the bet going down. Although I expect Andrade to be a tough fight for her, I’m going to get on her this time out.

There’s nothing particularly backable on the prelims so I’m sticking to the main card and splitting it up like so:

Bet 1 – £10 returning £36.00

Jimmie Rivera to beat Uriah Faber

Joanne Calderwood to beat Jessica Andrade

Bet 2 – £10 returning £39.00

Alistair Overeem  to beat Stipe Miocic

Fabricio Werdum to beat Travis Browne

Mickey Gall to beat CM Punk

Bet 3 – £5 returning £70.20

Jimmie Rivera to beat Uriah Faber

Joanne Calderwood to beat Jessica Andrade

Alistair Overeem  to beat Stipe Miocic

Fabricio Werdum to beat Travis Browne

Mickey Gall to beat CM Punk

bet

Remember, by clicking on the Paddy Power banner at the top of this page, opening an account, and doing your sports betting there, you are supporting MMA Flashback, for which I am very grateful.

MMA Flash back encourages you to gamble responsibly and within your limits. If gambling stops being fun, stop. If you feel you have a problem with gambling, seek help from GAMCARE. They can be reached on 0808 8020 133 or http://www.gamcare.org.uk.

I’ll be watching all the build up to this event, plus the exclusive prelims on UFC Fight Pass. There’s also a fantastic collection of original shows and an incredible fight library you can lose yourself in for weeks. To support MMA Flashback, you can click on the banner below and sign up today. You won’t regret it.


Ultimate Fight Night – Arlovski vs Barnett – Preview

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September 3, 2016 at Barclaycard Arena, Hamburg, Germany

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Yet another card filled with really tough picks. As you’ll see, I started out making sensible, well thought out decisions, but by the end, I decided to have some fun with the card that has led to a few speculative picks.

Andrei Arlovski vs Josh Barnett

The Pitbull surprised a lot of people with the solid career-saving record he put together between 2011-15. That was a run of 10 wins, punctuated by a lone loss to Anthony Johnson and an iffy NC against Tim Sylvia. That streak finally came to an end with two losses to the guys competing for the Heavyweight title next week, so no shame in that. Barnett hasn’t fought since his loss to Ben Rothwell back in January and although he’s still a tough night for anyone in the division, I’m going with Arlovski to get back in the win column here.

Alexander Gustafsson vs Jan Blachowicz

Gustafsson’s struggled to get back on track since being robbed by the judges in his title fight against Jon Jones at UFC 165. He beat Jimi Manuwa in his next outing but has posted two losses since, albeit to the best in the division, DC and Rumble. On paper, Alex should be too much for Blachowicz, but as much as I like the Swede, I’m going for an upset in this fight. Blachowicz looked pretty good against Igor Pokrajac in April and has the momentum going into this fight. Sorry Alex.

Ryan Bader vs Illr Latifi

This is a good match up for Bader. Although he’s sometimes struggled against real elite strikers, against fellow wrestlers he’s always done really well. Latifi has won his last 3 but against much lower tier opposition to what Bader has been facing and I feel like the style matchup favours Bader.

Nick Hein vs Tae Hyun Bang

How could you not back Sgt Nick Hein to win in Germany? He had to pull out late from the Rotterdam card in May and returning to action against the fantastically named Tae Hyun Bang looks ideal for Hein.

Jessin Ayari vs Jim Wallhead

Judo Jim Wallhead is a well-respected veteran of UK MMA finally getting his crack at the big show, and is riding a 4 fight win streak coming in to it. He’s fighting fellow debutant Ayari, who’s running hot himself, and even with Ayari having home field advantage, I like Wallhead to win.

Peter Sobotta vs Nicolas Dalby

This looks like a fairly even matchup, but for the punt, I’ll back Sobotta, purely as he’s the homegrown fighter.

Scott Askham vs Jack Hermansson

Askham entered the UFC in late 2014 with a perfect 12-0 record, but has gone 2-2 since being signed. Hermansson has a similar 13-2 record, but without the benefit of 4 UFC fights to his name. Backing the Englishman to win.

Rustam Khaboliv vs Leandro Silva

Although both guys have the same number of wins on their record, Khabilov has been fighting a higher level for longer, and I like him to grind out a win here against Silva.

Martin Buschkamp vs Alex Enlund

Two young Featherweights making their UFC debut here. Enlund hasn’t lost since 2013 and Buschkamp has yet to taste defeat in pro competition. I’m going for Enlund due to the shorter commute, and because as I’ve looked down these fights, I’ve decided on a few nationality based accumulators.

Taylor Lapilus vs beat Leandro Issa

For reasons below, I’m backing Taylor Lapilus.

Veronica Macedo vs Ashlee Evans-Smith

Macedo to win, again, see below.

Jarjis Danho vs Christian Colombo

Danho to win, see below

So, as I say, half way down the card, I decided to throw proper reasoning out of the window on some of these fights and have a bit of fun with nationality based accumulators. That does mean some fighters are getting backed a couple of times. It also means I’m backing both guys in the Bader vs Latifi and also the Wallhead vs Ayari fights. For the Perfect Game bet I’m going with Bader and Wallhead:

Soviet Block (ish) Success- £5 returning £71.50

Andrei Arlovski to beat Josh Barnett

Jan Blachowicz to beat Alexander Gustafsson

Rustam Khaboliv to beat Leandro Silva

Swedish Sorrow – £5 returning £64.17

Jan Blachowicz to beat Alexander Gustafsson

Ryan Bader to beat Illr Latifi

Scott Askham to beat Jack Hermansson

Home Field Heroes – £5 returning £27.44

Nick Hein to beat Tae Hyun Bang

Peter Sobotta to beat Nicolas Dalby

Jessin Ayari to beat Jim Wallhead

Brits Abroad – £ returning £

Jim Wallhead to beat Jessin Ayari

Scott Askham to beat Jack Hermansson

Alex Enlund to beat Martin Buschkamp

Brazillian Blow Out – £5 returning £16.96

Alex Enlund to beat Martin Buschkamp

Rustam Khaboliv to beat Leandro Silva

Taylor Lapilus to beat Leandro Issa

American (Bad) Dream – £5 returning £90.92

Andrei Arlovski to beat Josh Barnett

Illr Latifi to beat Ryan Bader

Veronica Macedo to beat Ashlee Evans-Smith

Danish Disaster – £5 returning £17.10

Peter Sobotta to beat Nicolas Dalby

Jarjis Danho vs Christian Colombo

Perfect Game – £1 returning £2448.47

Scott Askham to beat Jack Hermansson

Alex Enlund to beat Martin Buschkamp

Peter Sobotta to beat Nicolas Dalby

Rustam Khaboliv to beat Leandro Silva

Jarjis Danho vs Christian Colombo

Taylor Lapilus to beat Leandro Issa

Veronica Macedo to beat Ashlee Evans-Smith

Jim Wallhead to beat Jessin Ayari

Nick Hein to beat Tae Hyun Bang

Ryan Bader to beat Illr Latifi

Jan Blachowicz to beat Alexander Gustafsson

Andrei Arlovski to beat Josh Barnett

Bet

Remember, by clicking on the Paddy Power banner at the top of this page, opening an account, and doing your sports betting there, you are supporting MMA Flashback, for which I am very grateful.

MMA Flash back encourages you to gamble responsibly and within your limits. If gambling stops being fun, stop. If you feel you have a problem with gambling, seek help from GAMCARE. They can be reached on 0808 8020 133 or http://www.gamcare.org.uk.

I’ll be watching all the build up to this event, plus the exclusive prelims on UFC Fight Pass. There’s also a fantastic collection of original shows and an incredible fight library you can lose yourself in for weeks. To support MMA Flashback, you can click on the banner below and sign up today. You won’t regret it.


UFC on Fox – Maia vs Condit– Preview

August 27, 2016 at Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

To watch exclusive UFC fight cards, including exclusive prelims, hours of original programming, events from many other organisations and an enormous library of fights, click on the banner above and sign up for UFC Fight Pass. By doing so, you are also supporting MMA Flashback, for which I am hugely grateful.

Getting my excuses in early, I did think the four main card fights were all tough picks and I wasn’t all that confident of bagging all four for the win.

Jim Miller vs Joe Lauzon

I made a mistake in my build up, thinking Lauzon won the decision in these guys first fight back at UFC 155, when in fact it was Miller that took it. I agree with the two judges that gave it 29-28 to Miller, which unfortunately kills my bet right out of the gate. Not quite the spectacle their first fight was, but still an entertaining battle.

Paige VanZant vs Bec Rawlins

What a return for Paige VanZant? At times the first round looked a bit ‘style over substance’ but when one of the spinning kicks she’d been throwing landed flush early in the 2nd round and put Rawlins away, you could see why she kept going that way. Something for the highlight reel on her return.

Anthony Pettis vs Charles Oliveira

Going into the 3rd round even, the smart money was on Pettis fading due to the big weight cut and Oliveira winning the later ground exchanges. However, Pettis found a guillotine and got the win. I still don’t like Pettis at 145lbs but that win has bought him some time to regroup and get his career back on track. I suspect by this time next year he’ll be back up to 155lbs, but we’ll see.

Damian Maia vs Carlos Condit

Wow, great performance by Maia against a seriously dangerous opponent. That’s 6 in a row and he must now be right at the front of the line to fight the winner of Woodley vs Thompson. What a nice fella too. Really hope Condit doesn’t walk away from the Octagon. He always delivers a thrilling fight and the promotion would be much the poorer for him leaving. Wouldn’t blame him for following Rory MacDonald over to Bellator though.

I’m going to stick to the main card this time round and just the one bet:

£10 returning £0

Damian Maia to beat Carlos Condit – win

Charles Oliveira  to beat Anthony Pettis – lose

Paige VanZant to beat Bec Rawlins – win

Joe Lauzon  to beat Jim Miller – lose

I do all my betting on Paddy Power because they offer a wide range of sports betting, including good coverage of MMA events. If you would like to place a bet on MMA or anything else, you would be greatly supporting the site by clicking on the banner below, creating a Paddy Power account and doing it there.

MMA Flash back encourages you to gamble responsibly and within your limits. If gambling stops being fun, stop. If you feel you have a problem with gambling, seek help from GAMCARE. They can be reached on 0808 8020 133 or http://www.gamcare.org.uk.

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UFC on Fox – Maia vs Condit– Preview

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August 27, 2016 at Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

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As is often the case with these UFN / UFC on Fox cards, there are no easy picks on it. Lots of really close fights expected.

Damian Maia vs Carlos Condit

Maia is on a tear, winning his last 5, most recently submitting the always game Matt Brown. Under normal circumstances, he’d be easy to back, but betting money against Carlos Condit is not something people who like money do often. Although he’s lost 4 of his last 6, those loses were to the last four welterweight champions. The money does have to go on Maia, but I’m expecting him to have to go through a war to get there.

Anthony Pettis vs Charles Oliveira

Pettis is heading down to Featherweight after losing three on the bounce. I’m struggling to imagine him at 145 as he’s pretty big for 155. Oliveira is no joke and is coming off a high profile win over up and comer Myles Jury. Prior to that a loss to Max Holloway ended a 5 fight win streak. This fight all depends how the cut goes for Pettis. Oliveira has missed weight a few times himself so isn’t likely to be much smaller than Pettis. I think I’m leaning towards the Brazilian.

Paige VanZant vs Bec Rawlins

The Paige hype train got derailed back in December when Thug Rose beat the bejesus out of her for 4 ½ rounds. She’s had a nice long break to do some dancing on the telly, and now she’s back in the cage to try and get the fighting back on track. Rawlins has won her last two, both in Aus, but hasn’t won on the road in over 3 years. This is a tough test for Paige to come back to, but I feel like this is where we really find out what she’s made of, and I think she’ll come through it with a win.

Jim Miller vs Joe Lauzon

This is the hardest of the lot to pick. Miller got back in the win column with a 1st round knock out of Takinori Gomi at UFC 200 and I finally got a chance to win money backing him. However, Lauzon was also a winner on the same card finishing Diego Sanchez just as quickly and devastatingly. They’ve met before, when Lauzon took a decision win back at UFC 155 in July 2012. That was fight of the night, and this one is a candidate to be the same. I’m leaning towards Lauzon to win again, but it’s no more than a gut feeling.

bet (1)I’m going to stick to the main card this time round and just the one bet:

£10 returning £123.66

Damian Maia to beat Carlos Condit

Charles Oliveira  to beat Anthony Pettis

Paige VanZant to beat Bec Rawlins

Joe Lauzon  to beat Jim Miller

Remember, by clicking on the Paddy Power banner at the top of this page, opening an account, and doing your sports betting there, you are supporting MMA Flashback, for which I am very grateful.

MMA Flash back encourages you to gamble responsibly and within your limits. If gambling stops being fun, stop. If you feel you have a problem with gambling, seek help from GAMCARE. They can be reached on 0808 8020 133 or http://www.gamcare.org.uk.

I’ll be watching all the build up to this event, plus the exclusive prelims on UFC Fight Pass. There’s also a fantastic collection of original shows and an incredible fight library you can lose yourself in for weeks. To support MMA Flashback, you can click on the banner below and sign up today. You won’t regret it.


UFC 202 – McGregor vs Diaz 2 – Results

 August 20, 2016 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, USA

To watch exclusive UFC fight cards, including exclusive prelims, hours of original programming, events from many other organisations and an enormous library of fights, click on the banner above and sign up for UFC Fight Pass. By doing so, you are also supporting MMA Flashback, for which I am hugely grateful.

Nine predictions for this card with a total possible return of just over £900 from £31 staked, but there’s some very speculative picks on there so I wasn’t banking on anything.

Neil Magny vs Lorenz Larkin

Larkin looked absolutely savage, stopping Neil Magny, something Hector Lombard failed to do earlier this year. Watch out Welterweights. That’s a couple of my bets falling at the first hurdle, but it’s a long night.

Randa Markos vs Cortney Casey

After a shaky start, Casey had to fight her way out of a bad position and in the last seconds of the 1st round, found an armbar finish. Good effort.

Artem Lobov vs Chris Avila

Lobov finally adds a UFC win to his record, completely out-performing Avila, and chalks one up in the Dublin vs Stockton battle too. Still a little unconvincing from the Russian Hammer, as Avila offered little offensively and still saw the final bell.

Raquel Pennington vs Elizabeth Phillips

A hard fought victory for Pennington. It wasn’t pretty, but sometimes they just have to be ground out.

Cody Garbrandt vs Takeya Mizugaki

The fight opened up with Joe Rogan rabbiting on about how being such a big favourite in the fight could be a disadvantage to Garbrandt, causing him to take Mizugaki lightly. Cody soon shut that up with an early KO. As expected, with a bit of prompting from Rogan, Garbrandt took the opportunity to promise Dominick Cruz a broken jaw at the earliest opportunity.

Tim Means vs Sabah Homasi

Ah well, I did say the upset bets were just for fun. Means was an entirely different class to Homasi and by half way through the 1st round it was looking a case of not if, but when he’d get the finish.

Hyun Gyu Lim vs Mike Perry

Upset number two does come in, with Mike Perry beating the snot out of Hyun Gyu Lim. Will certainly be interested in his next outing.

Rick Story vs Donald Cerrone

COWBOY!! Story gave a decent account of himself in a 1st round that Cerrone probably won, but round 2 was all Cowboy and he bagged the show reel combination stoppage. I hope UFC give him the 155lbs title match against Alverez he’s asking for. If they do, my money will be straight on him.

Anthony Johnson vs Glover Teixeira

Rumble executed Glover in under a minute. Holy shit, that guy is a killer. It’s a good job he’s such a nice guy, because if he decided to go on a rampage, I’m not sure there’s much we could collectively do to stop him. Get ready DC, Rumble is coming for a second crack at your belt.

McGregor vs Diaz

What an incredible fight?! One and a half rounds in, it was looking like it might be a clinical and dominant win for Conor, but never count Nate Diaz out, who turned it into a war. I had it 10-8, 10-10, 9-10, 10-9, 9-10 so 48-47 overall. Two judges had the same score as me and another gave it a draw. Fantastic scrap, and for gods’ sake Conor, make that the last bout at 170lbs. Back to 145lbs to defend/unify that belt. There are other 155lbs I’d like to see both guys fight before they meet again, but I’m sure we’ll see the rubber match at some point.

So, 6/9 right a very small profit for the card:

Bet 1 – £10 returning £0.00

Neil Magny to beat Lorenz Larkin – lose

Cortney Casey to beat Randa Markos – win

Chris Aliva to beat Artem Lobov – lose

Raquel Pennington to beat Elizabeth Phillips – win

Bet 2 – £10 returning £0.00

Cody Garbrandt to beat Takeya Mizugaki – win

Sabah Homasi to beat Tim Means – lose

Mike Perry to beat Hyun Gyu Lim – win

Bet 3 – £10 returned £43.62

Donald Cerone to beat Rick Story – win

Anthony Johnson to beat Glover Teixeira – win

McGregor to beat Diaz – win

Bet 4 – £1 returning £0.00

Neil Magny to beat Lorenz Larkin – lose

Cortney Casey to beat Randa Markos – win

Chris Aliva to beat Artem Lobov – lose

Raquel Pennington to beat Elizabeth Phillips – win

Cody Garbrandt to beat Takeya Mizugaki – win

Sabah Homasi to beat Tim Means – lose

Mike Perry to beat Hyun Gyu Lim – win

Donald Cerone to beat Rick Story – win

Anthony Johnson to beat Glover Teixeira – win

McGregor to beat Diaz – win

Bet settled

I do all my betting on Paddy Power because they offer a wide range of sports betting, including good coverage of MMA events. If you would like to place a bet on MMA or anything else, you would be greatly supporting the site by clicking on the banner below, creating a Paddy Power account and doing it there.

MMA Flash back encourages you to gamble responsibly and within your limits. If gambling stops being fun, stop. If you feel you have a problem with gambling, seek help from GAMCARE. They can be reached on 0808 8020 133 or http://www.gamcare.org.uk.

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UFC 202 – Diaz vs McGregor 2 – Preview

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August 20, 2016 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, USA

Paddy Power offer a wide range of sports betting, including good coverage of MMA events. If you would like to place a bet on MMA or anything else, you would be greatly supporting the site by clicking on the banner above, creating a Paddy Power account and doing it there.

It was UFC 196 – McGregor vs Diaz that started this year’s betting campaign for me. I got more right than wrong on the night, but made no profit as there was a loser in each accumulator. That included the main event where I put my money on Conor. So, let’s have a look at UFC 202 and see where my money’s going.

McGregor vs Diaz

I’m an unapologetic fan of McGregor, both as a fighter and as a personality. I would rather he was defending his Featherweight title, and if he insists on super fights at other weights, I’d prefer him to be looking at Lightweight first. But I had my money on him last time, and I am happy to get it on him again now. Just got to keep it standing.

Anthony Johnson vs Glover Teixeira

With the exception of his failed title attempt against Daniel Cormier last May, Rumble has been a killer since moving up to Light Heavyweight. Glover Teixeira was also looking lethal when he made short work of Rashad Evans in April. That said, a hot Rumble Johnson is a different prospect to a retirement-bound Rashad coming back after a long layoff. Rumble looks favourite and I’m happy to get on him.

Rick Story vs Donald Cerone

Story looked pretty good in his return in May against Tarec Saffiedine after a long break. But I always bet on Cowboy, because the bet is usually live till the final bell. Cerone only has two losses in over three years, both to recently dethroned champ; RDA, and I don’t see Story derailing the current run.

Hyun Gyu Lim vs Mike Perry
Tim Means vs Sabah Homasi

I tend to duck fights where late replacements are involved, especially when they are promotional new comers. However, just for fun, I’m going to take a punt on Perry and Homasi to both cause upsets, just because of the juicy odds. Perry is unbeaten and Homasi has won three times already this year, so it’s not impossible.

Cody Garbrandt vs Takeya Mizugaki

Garbrandt is lining himself up for a crack at Dominick Cruz and an impressive win over Mizugaki surely gets that title shot signed. He looked fantastic when he put Thomas Almeida away in May and this fight feels like an opportunity to get the mic in his hand to call out the champ.

Raquel Pennington vs Elizabeth Phillips

I reluctantly bet against Pennington in April when I thought she would get beaten by Bethe Correia and that proved to be a mistake. I like her to beat Phillips here.

Artem Lobov vs Chris Avila

Conor’s buddy has yet to chalk up a win in the UFC and although Avila is another promotional debutant, this might be another backable newbie. He’s finished his last three opponents and I’m going to back him to chalk up a win on his first time in the big show.

Randa Markos vs Cortney Casey

Markos has alternated L-W-L-W in her last four, all going the distance. After losing her first two UFC bouts, Casey finished Cristina Stanciu in July. It’s that recent stoppage win that’s making me lean her way.

Neil Magny vs Lorenz Larkin

Larkin is a very tough dude, and I’m reluctant to bet against him, but it’s Neil Magny. He’s an auto-back fighter at the moment and is surely marching towards top 5 opposition and a title fight.

The opening Fight Pass prelims aren’t ones I want to get on, so I’m looking at:

Bet 1 – £10 returning £119.07

Neil Magny to beat Lorenz Larkin

Cortney Casey to beat Randa Markos

Chris Aliva to beat Artem Lobov

Raquel Pennington to beat Elizabeth Phillips

Bet 2 – £10 returning £142.19

Cody Garbrandt to beat Takeya Mizugaki

Mike Perry to beat Hyun Gyu Lim

Sabah Homasi to beat Tim Means

Bet 3 – £10 returning £43.62

Donald Cerone to beat Rick Story

Anthony Johnson to beat Glover Teixeira

McGregor to beat Diaz

Bet 4 – £1 returning £598.36

Neil Magny to beat Lorenz Larkin

Cortney Casey to beat Randa Markos

Chris Aliva to beat Artem Lobov

Raquel Pennington to beat Elizabeth Phillips

Cody Garbrandt to beat Takeya Mizugaki

Mike Perry to beat Hyun Gyu Lim

Sabah Homasi to beat Tim Means

Donald Cerone to beat Rick Story

Anthony Johnson to beat Glover Teixeira

McGregor to beat Diaz

Bet

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