UFC Fight Night Rothwell vs Dos Santos – Results


10th April, Arena Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia.

There were some cracking fights on the prelim card, including the Fight Pass opener between Bojan Velickivic and Alession Di Chirco. If you would like to sign up for Fight Pass, which I heartily recommend, please click on the banner above and support MMA Flashback in the process.

So, how did I get on with my betting for UFC Fight Night 86?

Maryna Moroz vs Cristina Stanciu to finish in -1.5 rounds – Lose

I needed either Moroz or Stanciu to win within 1.5 rounds, which they’ve both made a habit of so far in their careers. Stanciu got close with a couple of early submission attempts and Moroz almost found a finish towards the end of the 1st round. Unfortunately there was no urgency at the start of the 2nd round and the 2:30 mark came and went without much significant action. Moroz took a unanimous decision in an entertaining fight, but no good for my bet.

Igor Pokrajac to beat Jan Blachovicz – Lose

I backed Pokrajac to win his UFC return. Unfortunately, I paired it with Moroz vs Stanciu vanishing early, so right or wrong, I don’t get paid on this prediction. The first two rounds were thrillers and they won one each. Blachovicz ground out the third round to win a unanimous decision. Solid effort by both fighters.

Tim Johnson to beat Marcin Tybura – Win

The first of four straight heavyweight bouts was not a pretty one, but Tim Johnson was able to grind out a decision win. One in the bag.

Francis Ngannou to beat Curtis Blaydes – Win

Two big scary looking dudes clashing here. Ngannou’s heavy hands are the difference and he clearly wins two rounds, completely closing Blaydes’ right eye. There was some silly confusion when the doctor clearly assessed that Blaydes couldn’t see out of the right eye and stops the fight. The referee seemed determined to ignore him and let it continue but the doctor stands his ground. Second bet of the night is a winner.

Derrick Lewis to beat Gabriel Gonzaga – Win

I was a little worried about my Lewis prediction when he found himself underneath Gonzaga early. I needn’t have been, as he found a way out and showed us all his terrifying power, knocking Gonzaga out cold. Brutal.

Ben Rothwell to beat Junior dos Santos – Lose

A masterful performance by JDS. Quicker, more accurate, better distance control and variety of strikes. Kills my third bet, but still a pleasure to watch.

Junior-Dos-Santos-punches-Ben-Rothwell-in-their-heavyweight-bout

Results

Well, three of my six predictions were right, and one of my three bets won as a result. £15 staked, £23.63 returned for Ngannou and Johnson both winning, so a small profit, which is always preferable to a loss. Next up, UFC on Fox – Teixeira vs Evans.

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UFC Fight Night Rothwell vs Dos Santos

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10th April, Arena Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia.

Paddy Power offer a wide range of sports betting, including good coverage of MMA events. If you would like to place a bet on MMA or anything else, you would be greatly supporting the site by clicking on the banner above, creating a Paddy Power account and doing it there.

I had a winning night at Ultimate Fight Night – Hunt vs Mir. Let’s see if I can keep the run going at UFC Fight Night – Rothwell vs dos Santos. There are a lot of unknowns on the card, so as with the last event, I’m sticking to the main card for my betting. All odds quoted are from Paddy Power and are correct at the time of writing.

Ben Rothwell (1/1) vs Junior dos Santos (4/5)

Big Ben is putting a decent run together, and is putting big names away, most recently in January being the first person to submit Josh Barnett. On the other hand, the dos Santos that was icing opponents between UFC 90 and UFC 146 seems like a distant memory. Paddy Power have Junior as the narrowest of favourites at 4/5, but at evens, as much as it pains me, I’m on Rothwell.

Gabriel Gonzaga (5/4) vs Derrick Lewis (8/13)

Gonzaga was originally slated to face Ruslan Magomedov in this event and I’d have been on the Russian in a flash. He’s now up against Derrick Lewis who is 8/13 on Paddy Power. The Black Beast doesn’t have the win-streak Magomedov does, and while Gonzaga is definitely a step up in class for him, I’m backing him to make the grade.

Francis Ngannou (4/5) vs Curtis Blaydes (1/1)

Promotional newcomer, Blaydes is 5-0 and is facing 6-1 Francis Ngannou, who won his UFC debut by KO in December. It’s a fairly even fight on paper, but with Frenchman, Ngannou having the much shorter commute, I’m leaning his way.

Timothy Johnson (13/8) vs Marcin Tybura (1/2)

Tybura is stepping into the UFC for the first time, putting most of his previous 13-1 record together in M-1 promotions. Johnson has a couple of UFC Fight Nights under his belt, is 1-1 since joining the promotion and is 9-2 overall. It feels like a pick ‘em to me, so normally I’d duck it for the bet. However, as Paddy Power have Tybura as solid favourite, a little tickle on Johnson is tempting.

Igor Pokrajac (5/2) vs Jan Blachovicz (2/7)

Blachowicz won his UFC debut against Illr Latifi, but has lost twice since, albeit against solid competition. Pokrajac got cut from the UFC losing 5 in a row (although 1 was overturned to a NC). He’s won three straight in local shows, and it’s worth noting that virtually all his career losses have been a LONG way from home. In European fights, Pokrajac wins and more often than not, finishes. Paddy Power have Blachovicz as a big favourite, so backing Pokrajac to win his UFC return looks like the value bet of the card.

Maryna Moroz (4/9) vs Cristina Stanciu (7/4)

Stanciu is entering the Octagon for the first time with a 5-0 record including three first round submissions in the last year. This is Moroz’ third fight for the promotion, and is coming off the back of her first loss. Prior to that she was 6-0, also mostly winning by early submission. I’m more likely to bet that the fight won’t go the distance than pick an actual winner here. Paddy Power are offering 11/8 on the fight lasting under 1.5 rounds, which is tempting.

The Bets

I’ve decided to place three doubles. Firstly, Moroz vs Stanciu to finish in under 1.5 rounds, and Pokrajac to win, then Ngannou and Johnson to both win their close match ups, and finally, Rothwell and Lewis to win the main and co-main respectively. Once those bets were placed, Paddy Power threw a free £5 bet at me, so I bet it on all six predictions coming in, which is a long shot, but you never know.

Remember, by clicking on the Paddy Power banner at the top of this page, opening an account, and doing your sports betting there, you are supporting MMA Flashback, for which I am very grateful.

Betting slips

MMA Flash back encourages you to gamble responsibly and within your limits. If gambling stops being fun, stop. If you feel you have a problem with gambling, seek help from GAMCARE. They can be reached on 0808 8020 133 or http://www.gamcare.org.uk. Gambling sites are for 18+ only. Terms and Conditions apply.

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