UFC 202 – McGregor vs Diaz 2 – Results

 August 20, 2016 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, USA

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Nine predictions for this card with a total possible return of just over £900 from £31 staked, but there’s some very speculative picks on there so I wasn’t banking on anything.

Neil Magny vs Lorenz Larkin

Larkin looked absolutely savage, stopping Neil Magny, something Hector Lombard failed to do earlier this year. Watch out Welterweights. That’s a couple of my bets falling at the first hurdle, but it’s a long night.

Randa Markos vs Cortney Casey

After a shaky start, Casey had to fight her way out of a bad position and in the last seconds of the 1st round, found an armbar finish. Good effort.

Artem Lobov vs Chris Avila

Lobov finally adds a UFC win to his record, completely out-performing Avila, and chalks one up in the Dublin vs Stockton battle too. Still a little unconvincing from the Russian Hammer, as Avila offered little offensively and still saw the final bell.

Raquel Pennington vs Elizabeth Phillips

A hard fought victory for Pennington. It wasn’t pretty, but sometimes they just have to be ground out.

Cody Garbrandt vs Takeya Mizugaki

The fight opened up with Joe Rogan rabbiting on about how being such a big favourite in the fight could be a disadvantage to Garbrandt, causing him to take Mizugaki lightly. Cody soon shut that up with an early KO. As expected, with a bit of prompting from Rogan, Garbrandt took the opportunity to promise Dominick Cruz a broken jaw at the earliest opportunity.

Tim Means vs Sabah Homasi

Ah well, I did say the upset bets were just for fun. Means was an entirely different class to Homasi and by half way through the 1st round it was looking a case of not if, but when he’d get the finish.

Hyun Gyu Lim vs Mike Perry

Upset number two does come in, with Mike Perry beating the snot out of Hyun Gyu Lim. Will certainly be interested in his next outing.

Rick Story vs Donald Cerrone

COWBOY!! Story gave a decent account of himself in a 1st round that Cerrone probably won, but round 2 was all Cowboy and he bagged the show reel combination stoppage. I hope UFC give him the 155lbs title match against Alverez he’s asking for. If they do, my money will be straight on him.

Anthony Johnson vs Glover Teixeira

Rumble executed Glover in under a minute. Holy shit, that guy is a killer. It’s a good job he’s such a nice guy, because if he decided to go on a rampage, I’m not sure there’s much we could collectively do to stop him. Get ready DC, Rumble is coming for a second crack at your belt.

McGregor vs Diaz

What an incredible fight?! One and a half rounds in, it was looking like it might be a clinical and dominant win for Conor, but never count Nate Diaz out, who turned it into a war. I had it 10-8, 10-10, 9-10, 10-9, 9-10 so 48-47 overall. Two judges had the same score as me and another gave it a draw. Fantastic scrap, and for gods’ sake Conor, make that the last bout at 170lbs. Back to 145lbs to defend/unify that belt. There are other 155lbs I’d like to see both guys fight before they meet again, but I’m sure we’ll see the rubber match at some point.

So, 6/9 right a very small profit for the card:

Bet 1 – £10 returning £0.00

Neil Magny to beat Lorenz Larkin – lose

Cortney Casey to beat Randa Markos – win

Chris Aliva to beat Artem Lobov – lose

Raquel Pennington to beat Elizabeth Phillips – win

Bet 2 – £10 returning £0.00

Cody Garbrandt to beat Takeya Mizugaki – win

Sabah Homasi to beat Tim Means – lose

Mike Perry to beat Hyun Gyu Lim – win

Bet 3 – £10 returned £43.62

Donald Cerone to beat Rick Story – win

Anthony Johnson to beat Glover Teixeira – win

McGregor to beat Diaz – win

Bet 4 – £1 returning £0.00

Neil Magny to beat Lorenz Larkin – lose

Cortney Casey to beat Randa Markos – win

Chris Aliva to beat Artem Lobov – lose

Raquel Pennington to beat Elizabeth Phillips – win

Cody Garbrandt to beat Takeya Mizugaki – win

Sabah Homasi to beat Tim Means – lose

Mike Perry to beat Hyun Gyu Lim – win

Donald Cerone to beat Rick Story – win

Anthony Johnson to beat Glover Teixeira – win

McGregor to beat Diaz – win

Bet settled

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UFC 202 – Diaz vs McGregor 2 – Preview

468x60_AFF_Misc_MultiSport_BN_GBP
August 20, 2016 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, USA

Paddy Power offer a wide range of sports betting, including good coverage of MMA events. If you would like to place a bet on MMA or anything else, you would be greatly supporting the site by clicking on the banner above, creating a Paddy Power account and doing it there.

It was UFC 196 – McGregor vs Diaz that started this year’s betting campaign for me. I got more right than wrong on the night, but made no profit as there was a loser in each accumulator. That included the main event where I put my money on Conor. So, let’s have a look at UFC 202 and see where my money’s going.

McGregor vs Diaz

I’m an unapologetic fan of McGregor, both as a fighter and as a personality. I would rather he was defending his Featherweight title, and if he insists on super fights at other weights, I’d prefer him to be looking at Lightweight first. But I had my money on him last time, and I am happy to get it on him again now. Just got to keep it standing.

Anthony Johnson vs Glover Teixeira

With the exception of his failed title attempt against Daniel Cormier last May, Rumble has been a killer since moving up to Light Heavyweight. Glover Teixeira was also looking lethal when he made short work of Rashad Evans in April. That said, a hot Rumble Johnson is a different prospect to a retirement-bound Rashad coming back after a long layoff. Rumble looks favourite and I’m happy to get on him.

Rick Story vs Donald Cerone

Story looked pretty good in his return in May against Tarec Saffiedine after a long break. But I always bet on Cowboy, because the bet is usually live till the final bell. Cerone only has two losses in over three years, both to recently dethroned champ; RDA, and I don’t see Story derailing the current run.

Hyun Gyu Lim vs Mike Perry
Tim Means vs Sabah Homasi

I tend to duck fights where late replacements are involved, especially when they are promotional new comers. However, just for fun, I’m going to take a punt on Perry and Homasi to both cause upsets, just because of the juicy odds. Perry is unbeaten and Homasi has won three times already this year, so it’s not impossible.

Cody Garbrandt vs Takeya Mizugaki

Garbrandt is lining himself up for a crack at Dominick Cruz and an impressive win over Mizugaki surely gets that title shot signed. He looked fantastic when he put Thomas Almeida away in May and this fight feels like an opportunity to get the mic in his hand to call out the champ.

Raquel Pennington vs Elizabeth Phillips

I reluctantly bet against Pennington in April when I thought she would get beaten by Bethe Correia and that proved to be a mistake. I like her to beat Phillips here.

Artem Lobov vs Chris Avila

Conor’s buddy has yet to chalk up a win in the UFC and although Avila is another promotional debutant, this might be another backable newbie. He’s finished his last three opponents and I’m going to back him to chalk up a win on his first time in the big show.

Randa Markos vs Cortney Casey

Markos has alternated L-W-L-W in her last four, all going the distance. After losing her first two UFC bouts, Casey finished Cristina Stanciu in July. It’s that recent stoppage win that’s making me lean her way.

Neil Magny vs Lorenz Larkin

Larkin is a very tough dude, and I’m reluctant to bet against him, but it’s Neil Magny. He’s an auto-back fighter at the moment and is surely marching towards top 5 opposition and a title fight.

The opening Fight Pass prelims aren’t ones I want to get on, so I’m looking at:

Bet 1 – £10 returning £119.07

Neil Magny to beat Lorenz Larkin

Cortney Casey to beat Randa Markos

Chris Aliva to beat Artem Lobov

Raquel Pennington to beat Elizabeth Phillips

Bet 2 – £10 returning £142.19

Cody Garbrandt to beat Takeya Mizugaki

Mike Perry to beat Hyun Gyu Lim

Sabah Homasi to beat Tim Means

Bet 3 – £10 returning £43.62

Donald Cerone to beat Rick Story

Anthony Johnson to beat Glover Teixeira

McGregor to beat Diaz

Bet 4 – £1 returning £598.36

Neil Magny to beat Lorenz Larkin

Cortney Casey to beat Randa Markos

Chris Aliva to beat Artem Lobov

Raquel Pennington to beat Elizabeth Phillips

Cody Garbrandt to beat Takeya Mizugaki

Mike Perry to beat Hyun Gyu Lim

Sabah Homasi to beat Tim Means

Donald Cerone to beat Rick Story

Anthony Johnson to beat Glover Teixeira

McGregor to beat Diaz

Bet

Remember, by clicking on the Paddy Power banner at the top of this page, opening an account, and doing your sports betting there, you are supporting MMA Flashback, for which I am very grateful.

MMA Flash back encourages you to gamble responsibly and within your limits. If gambling stops being fun, stop. If you feel you have a problem with gambling, seek help from GAMCARE. They can be reached on 0808 8020 133 or http://www.gamcare.org.uk.

I’ll be watching all the build up to this event, plus the exclusive prelims on UFC Fight Pass. There’s also a fantastic collection of original shows and an incredible fight library you can lose yourself in for weeks. To support MMA Flashback, you can click on the banner below and sign up today. You won’t regret it.