UFC 199 – Rockhold vs Bisping – Preview

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June 4, 2016 at The Forum, Inglewood, California, USA

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After a pretty shocking performance, picking only one out of six bouts correctly on UFC Fight Night 88, I’m looking to redeem myself at UFC 199. Looking down the coupon, there’s only one non-favourite I want to get behind.

Luke Rockhold vs Michael Bisping

Rockhold clearly goes into this fight as the favourite. He dismantled Chris Weidman to take the title, and eighteen months ago, he put Bisping away. However, as a British MMA fan who’s been a confirmed Bisping nut-hugger for a decade, I can’t foresee any situation where I would cheer or bet against him. He’s just beaten the Spider GOAT, he knows this is his one and only shot at this belt, and the stars have aligned with other top 5 injuries and schedules to give it to him. Also, 5/1??? Come on, it’s not that much of a long shot. WARRR on Bisping!!

Dominick Cruz vs Uriah Faber

With the injury nightmares Dominick Cruz has had over the last five years, there’s a chance MMA fans have been robbed of one of the great UFC careers of all time, only fighting four times in five years since the WEC buy out. That said, if he can stay healthy, he’s only 31. There’s time to put together a decent title defence streak yet. He’s 1-1 with Faber, and that loss is his only one on his record. This rubber match is four years in the making, and Cruz is listed as a strong favourite, rightly so IMO.

Max Holloway vs Ricardo Lamas

Holloway is on a very impressive 8 fight win streak and surely it’s only a matter of time before he fights for the Featherweight strap. Getting past a tough guy like Lamas is likely the last hurdle to put him in line to take on the winner of Aldo vs Edgar at UFC 200 (depending on what Conor decides to do). I fancy the Hawaiian to do that this weekend.

Dan Henderson vs Hector Lombard

This is Dan Henderson’s last fight on his UFC contract and he’s openly said that there’s a good chance it could be his last time strapping on the gloves. It’d be great to see him go out on a win, but he’s lost 6 of his last 8, including being on the receiving end of a few nasty KOs. Before Neil Magny pulled off one of the most incredible final round comebacks you’ll ever see in March, Lombard was savaging him, and I fear Dan Henderson could find himself on the wrong end of a beating here.

Dustin Poirier vs Bobby Green

Green hasn’t fought since his 2014 loss to Edson Barboza. In that time Poirier has beaten three really good guys, and is a seriously tough comeback fight. I like Poirier to win what could be a really entertaining fight.

Brian Ortega vs Clay Guida

Ortega is so far unbeaten, and although Guida has a huge experience advantage over him, I think he’ll be up to the task. Guida is always game, but I think the young prospect will take it.

Beneil Dariush vs James Vick

This is an odd replacement vs replacement fight. I was leaning towards backing Evan Dunham to beat Leonardo Santos, but the latter pulled out through injury and was replaced by James Vick. I was very impressed with Vick at UFC 197, and was planning on backing him against Dunham. However, Dunham is now also out and has been replaced by Beneil Dariush, who’s a tough ask for the young lad. I will likely be backing Vick at some point in the future, but this weekend, I’m on Dariush.

Jessica Penne vs Jessica Andrade

I’m not liking the look of this one for my bets. Neither have fought since last year and both lost their last runouts. No particular reason to get my money on either fighter.

Cole Miller vs Alex Caceres

This is another replacement vs replacement fight. Originally it was BJ Penn vs Dennis Siver, and I was planning on backing BJ. When Siver pulled out and was replaced by Cole Miller I was switching to Miller. Now BJ is out, Miller faces Alex Caceras. As entertaining as the kid is, I’m yet to be convinced by “Bruce Leeroy” and although Miller hasn’t chalked up a win since January 2014, I like him to get back in the win column here.

There’s nothing on the Fight Pass prelims that I want to get my money on (although the featured bout of Breese vs Strickland could be a belter) so my bets are going to be:

Bet 1 – £10 returning £60.00

Bisping to beat Rockhold

And as I’m backing all the favourites, I’m going big with:

Bet 2 – £10 returning £98.32

Dominick Cruz to beat Uriah Faber

Max Holloway to beat Ricardo Lamas

Hector Lombard to beat Dan Henderson

Dustin Poirier to beat Bobby Green

Brian Ortega to beat Clay Guida

Beneil Dariush to beat James Vick

Cole Miller to beat Alex Caceres

bet 1 (1)

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I’ll be watching all the build up to this event, plus the exclusive prelims on UFC Fight Pass. There’s also a fantastic collection of original shows and an incredible fight library you can lose yourself in for weeks. To support MMA Flashback, you can click on the banner below and sign up today. You won’t regret it.


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