UFC Fight Night – Almeida vs Garbrandt

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May 29, 2016. Mandalay Bay Events Center, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA.

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After having money on every fight on the previous UFC 198 card, I’m limiting my bets to the main card of this UFC Fight Night.

Thomas Almeida vs Cody Garbrandt

Someone’s 0 must go in the main event and that seems most likely to be Garbrandt’s. Almeida is the more experienced fighter, and he’s a finisher. Should be a belter too, as Almeida has picked up performance bonuses in all four of his UFC bouts so far.

Renan Barao vs Jeremy Stephens

Stephens is a tough night for anyone, but Renan Barao at Featherweight is an exciting prospect. Easy to get behind the former Bantamweight champ here.

Tarec Saffiedine vs Rick Story

Saffiedine is listed as the favourite for the fight, and justifiably so. His record is littered with big welterweight names. His last outing was a hard-fought decision win over Jake Ellenberger. Prior to that, he was stopped for the first time in his career by Rory McDonald, but Saffiedine usually goes the distance and usually wins. Rick Story’s last win was an impressive win over Gunnar Nelson who he suffocated for three full rounds. However, that was all the way back in October 2014 and Saffiedine is a bad match up for a comeback fight. Saffiedine goes on the coupon.

Chris Camozzi vs Vitor Miranda

I was on Miranda back in UFC 196, when he knocked out Marcelo Guimaraes for me. He usually finishes fighters by KO/TKO, but in his 23-10 record, Camozzi has never been stopped on his feet. It’ll be interesting to see what happens if Miranda can’t get Camozzi out of there early, but I’m still happy to back him to win.

Jorge Masvidal vs Lorenz Larkin

After switching to Welterweight in 2015, Larkin chalked up a couple of decent wins, but his last outing was a loss to Russian striker Albert Tumerov in January. Masvidal’s last outing was back in November 2015 where he took Benson Henderson to a close decision. I like Masvidal to out-strike Larkin and get the win here.

Josh Burkman vs Paul Felder

After a couple of thrilling wars with Edson Barboza and Ross Pearson where the judges went against him, Paul Felder got himself back in the win column in January against Daron Cruickshank. Although Burkman is tough as nails and will push him hard, I think Felder’s heavy striking will win the day.

There’s nothing in the prelims that take my fancy, so I’m going for:

Bet 1 – £5 returning £24.38

Miranda to beat Camozzi

Masvidal to beat Larkin

Felder to beat Burkman

Bet 2 – £5 returning £21.39

Almeida to beat Garbrandt

Barao to beat Stephens

Saffiedine to beat Story

Bet 3 – £5 returning £104.28

Almeida to beat Garbrandt

Barao to beat Stephens

Saffiedine to beat Story

Miranda to beat Camozzi

Masvidal to beat Larkin

Felder to beat Burkman

Bet

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I’ll be watching all the build up to this event, plus the exclusive prelims on UFC Fight Pass. There’s also a fantastic collection of original shows and an incredible fight library you can lose yourself in for weeks. To support MMA Flashback, you can click on the banner below and sign up today. You won’t regret it.


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