UFC Fight Night – Almeida vs Garbrandt – Results

 May 29, 2016. Mandalay Bay Events Center, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA.

To watch exclusive UFC fight cards, including exclusive prelims, hours of original programming, events from many other organisations and an enormous library of fights, click on the banner above and sign up for UFC Fight Pass. By doing so, you are also supporting MMA Flashback, for which I am hugely grateful.

Going into this event, I was showing a ROI of 850% for the year’s betting. Some or all of my bets coming in here could get me to the 1000% milestone. All bets were all on the main card, starting with;

Paul Felder to beat Josh Burkman – win

Felder never really got out of the traps in the first round. Instead Burkman slowed the pace down and took the opener, largely by virtue of a late takedown. Felder started to open up a bit in the second and clearly took the points. Felder was the much fresher looking fighter in the final round and looked like he could go another three by the end. Not quite the barn-burner I expected, but a solid points win for Paul Felder to get my bets off to a winning start.

Jorge Masvidal to beat Lorenz Larkin – lose

This was a really close and entertaining fight that could have gone either way. Unfortunately for me and Jorge, two of the three judges gave Larkin the nod, and I can’t really argue with that. Bet 1 dead.

Vitor Miranda to beat Chris Camozzi – lose

Great job done by Camozzi to nullify Miranda, who’s starched his last three opponents. Not the prettiest of wins, but they all count. With my first bet dead before they started, not too worried about the result of this one.

Tarec Saffiedine to beat Rick Story – lose

Story is a bull and he stuck to Saffiedine for most of the fight. Saffiedine put his hands up at the final buzzer and looked like he really believed he had a chance of getting the decision, but it was a clear Story win. Sadly, that was all my bet’s done before we got to the co-main event.

Renan Barao to beat Jeremy Stephens – lose

Wow, what a great fight. Round 1 was a close war that could have gone either way. Stephens landed some bombs in the 2nd and Barao was fortunate to make it out of the round with his head still on his shoulders. Round 3 was another close one and again, could have gone either way. All three judges have it 29-28 to Stephens, which looked about right to me too.

Thomas Almeida to beat Cody Garbrandt – lose

Garbrandt capitalised on a slow start by Almeida and put him to the sword early. Big 1st round KO victory for Garbrandt, and a first career loss to Almeida.

Bet 1 – £5 returned £0.00

Miranda to beat Camozzi

Masvidal to beat Larkin

Felder to beat Burkman

Bet 2 – £5 returned £0.00

Almeida to beat Garbrandt

Barao to beat Stephens

Saffiedine to beat Story

Bet 3 – £5 returned £0.00

Almeida to beat Garbrandt

Barao to beat Stephens

Saffiedine to beat Story

Miranda to beat Camozzi

Masvidal to beat Larkin

Felder to beat Burkman

So no 1000% ROI this weekend, and not only that, 1 out of 6 is a very poor performance by me. I’ll have to redeem myself at the up-coming UFC 199.

I do all my betting on Paddy Power because they offer a wide range of sports betting, including good coverage of MMA events. If you would like to place a bet on MMA or anything else, you would be greatly supporting the site by clicking on the banner above, creating a Paddy Power account and doing it there.

MMA Flash back encourages you to gamble responsibly and within your limits. If gambling stops being fun, stop. If you feel you have a problem with gambling, seek help from GAMCARE. They can be reached on 0808 8020 133 or http://www.gamcare.org.uk.

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UFC Fight Night – Almeida vs Garbrandt

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May 29, 2016. Mandalay Bay Events Center, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA.

Paddy Power offer a wide range of sports betting, including good coverage of MMA events. If you would like to place a bet on MMA or anything else, you would be greatly supporting the site by clicking on the banner above, creating a Paddy Power account and doing it there.

After having money on every fight on the previous UFC 198 card, I’m limiting my bets to the main card of this UFC Fight Night.

Thomas Almeida vs Cody Garbrandt

Someone’s 0 must go in the main event and that seems most likely to be Garbrandt’s. Almeida is the more experienced fighter, and he’s a finisher. Should be a belter too, as Almeida has picked up performance bonuses in all four of his UFC bouts so far.

Renan Barao vs Jeremy Stephens

Stephens is a tough night for anyone, but Renan Barao at Featherweight is an exciting prospect. Easy to get behind the former Bantamweight champ here.

Tarec Saffiedine vs Rick Story

Saffiedine is listed as the favourite for the fight, and justifiably so. His record is littered with big welterweight names. His last outing was a hard-fought decision win over Jake Ellenberger. Prior to that, he was stopped for the first time in his career by Rory McDonald, but Saffiedine usually goes the distance and usually wins. Rick Story’s last win was an impressive win over Gunnar Nelson who he suffocated for three full rounds. However, that was all the way back in October 2014 and Saffiedine is a bad match up for a comeback fight. Saffiedine goes on the coupon.

Chris Camozzi vs Vitor Miranda

I was on Miranda back in UFC 196, when he knocked out Marcelo Guimaraes for me. He usually finishes fighters by KO/TKO, but in his 23-10 record, Camozzi has never been stopped on his feet. It’ll be interesting to see what happens if Miranda can’t get Camozzi out of there early, but I’m still happy to back him to win.

Jorge Masvidal vs Lorenz Larkin

After switching to Welterweight in 2015, Larkin chalked up a couple of decent wins, but his last outing was a loss to Russian striker Albert Tumerov in January. Masvidal’s last outing was back in November 2015 where he took Benson Henderson to a close decision. I like Masvidal to out-strike Larkin and get the win here.

Josh Burkman vs Paul Felder

After a couple of thrilling wars with Edson Barboza and Ross Pearson where the judges went against him, Paul Felder got himself back in the win column in January against Daron Cruickshank. Although Burkman is tough as nails and will push him hard, I think Felder’s heavy striking will win the day.

There’s nothing in the prelims that take my fancy, so I’m going for:

Bet 1 – £5 returning £24.38

Miranda to beat Camozzi

Masvidal to beat Larkin

Felder to beat Burkman

Bet 2 – £5 returning £21.39

Almeida to beat Garbrandt

Barao to beat Stephens

Saffiedine to beat Story

Bet 3 – £5 returning £104.28

Almeida to beat Garbrandt

Barao to beat Stephens

Saffiedine to beat Story

Miranda to beat Camozzi

Masvidal to beat Larkin

Felder to beat Burkman

Bet

Remember, by clicking on the Paddy Power banner at the top of this page, opening an account, and doing your sports betting there, you are supporting MMA Flashback, for which I am very grateful.

MMA Flash back encourages you to gamble responsibly and within your limits. If gambling stops being fun, stop. If you feel you have a problem with gambling, seek help from GAMCARE. They can be reached on 0808 8020 133 or http://www.gamcare.org.uk.

I’ll be watching all the build up to this event, plus the exclusive prelims on UFC Fight Pass. There’s also a fantastic collection of original shows and an incredible fight library you can lose yourself in for weeks. To support MMA Flashback, you can click on the banner below and sign up today. You won’t regret it.


UFC 198 Werdum vs Miocic – Results

 May 14, 2016, Arena da Baixada in Curitiba, Brazil

To watch exclusive UFC fight cards, including exclusive prelims, hours of original programming, events from many other organisations and an enormous library of fights, click on the banner above and sign up for UFC Fight Pass. By doing so, you are also supporting MMA Flashback, for which I am hugely grateful.

It’s not often I have skin in the game in every bout on a fight card, so as I settled in to watch UFC 198, I was braced for an exciting ride. With £25 staked, my maximum returns were £256.49:

bet 1

Fight Pass Prelims

Renato Moicano got me off to a winning start edging out Zubaira Tukhugov with a split decision win.

I thought my bets were in danger early in the next fight when late replacement Luan Chagas temporarily starched Sergio Moraes with a huge head kick. Chagas’ gas tank emptied, and for me it was 29-28 to Moraes at the final bell. One judge gave it to each fighter and the third was undecided, so the result was a draw. I thought that would kill Bet 1 and Bet 3, but I got a nice surprise when I checked my account post-event, as the draw voided the selection, and instead Bet 3 became a double on Moicano and Trinaldo to win, so all bets were still live.

Next up was Antonio Rogerio Nogueira to beat Pat Cummins in the Fight Pass featured prelim. Cummins had some success with his kicking, but wasn’t able to transition to his wrestling with Noguiera fighting off his take down attempts fairly easily. When little Nog started to let his hands go, he gave the Brazilians, and me something to cheer for, putting Cummins away late in the opening round. All bets still healthy going into the Fox Sports prelims.

Fox Sports Prelims

John Lineker was my first interest in this section of the fight card, facing Rob Font. After a couple of minutes to find his range, Lineker methodically picked his opponent apart, winning a unanimous decision and barely breaking a sweat (although somehow, one judge found a way to give a round to Font).

The remaining fight in Bet 3 was Francisco Trinaldo to beat Yancy Madeiros. As I said, I thought this bet was dead so was watching it fairly passively. Trinaldo won an entertaining war and banked me a surprise win. [DISCUSSION POINT: if Fighter A wins 4:30 of a round and Fighter B lands a big shot and inflicts 0:30 of GnP, who wins the round? It’s fighter A for me, but according to Brian Stann, it’s Fighter B. The judges agree with me, because in this case, Trinaldo was Fighter A and he won by a landslide score].

Next up, to progress Bet 2 I needed Thiago Santos to beat Nate Marquart, which he did by KO in the 1st.

I hated betting against Matt Brown in the featured prelim, as he’s one of my favourite fighters on the roster. I just couldn’t see Damien Maia losing in Brazil. Brown almost managed to fight Maia’s submission attempts for three full rounds, but the Brazil finally got the tap in the dying seconds of the final round.

Main Card

The first fight on the main card was Warlley Alves who I needed to beat Bryan Barberena to progress Bet 2. After a strong start by Alves, he tired and Barberena ground out the win. Bets 1 & 2 go down.

Next up is Shogun who needed to beat Corey Anderson to complete my veterans double. Shogun edged a really close fight and banks me a win. [DISCUSSION POINT: if fighter A completes a takedown but fighter B immediately springs to their feet, does the take down score? There was zero ground control, which is surely the purpose of the takedown.]

With bet 1 & 2 already dead, the Cyborg vs Smith bout no longer mattered to my pocket. There were no surprises though as Cyborg won by first round execution. Smith complained, but she looked done to me. The UFC needs to build a 145 women’s division, because 135ers aren’t going to want to keep stepping up to fight Cyborg in catch weight fights, and there’s no way she’s making 135.

With Anderson Silva having to pull out of his fight, be 5 is just the co-main and main events. First up, Jacare needed to handle business with Vitor. Jacare didn’t seem at all interested in using his superior grappling to submit Vitor. Instead, he dominated position and smashed his face in. Solid win for Jacare. I would personally like to see him and Bisping fight for next in line for the middleweight shot, rather than straight to it, but I think more likely, he’s front of the line.

Finally, I had Fabricio Werdum to retain his belt against Stipe Miocic, who’s another fighter I really hate betting against, and for very good reason. Late in a 1st round that Werdum was arguably edging, Stone Cold Stipe nails the charging champ with a right hook on the retreat that shut the lights out. We have a new heavyweight champ, and Tommy Toehold couldn’t be happier (if you don’t know what that means, search Youtube. You’re in for a treat).

Results

Bet 1 – £5 returning £164.06 – lose

Bet 2 – £5 returning £20.93 – lose

Bet 3 – £5 returning £19.17 – win

Bet 4 – £5 returning £10.77 – lose

Bet 5 – £5 returning £36.09 – win

I picked 12 results and got 9 wins, 2 loses and a draw, so £55.26 is a little bit disappointing as a return, but profit’s profit and finding out a bet you thought was a loser is actually a winner is always a nice bonus. A week off now to watch and write up a classic event, before pricing up UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt.

Settled

I do all my betting on Paddy Power because they offer a wide range of sports betting, including good coverage of MMA events. If you would like to place a bet on MMA or anything else, you would be greatly supporting the site by clicking on the banner below, creating a Paddy Power account and doing it there.

MMA Flash back encourages you to gamble responsibly and within your limits. If gambling stops being fun, stop. If you feel you have a problem with gambling, seek help from GAMCARE. They can be reached on 0808 8020 133 or http://www.gamcare.org.uk.

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UFC 198 Werdum vs Miocic – Preview

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May 14, 2016, Arena da Baixada in Curitiba, Brazil

Paddy Power offer a wide range of sports betting, including good coverage of MMA events. If you would like to place a bet on MMA or anything else, you would be greatly supporting the site by clicking on the banner above, creating a Paddy Power account and doing it there.

UFC 198 is an absolute cracker, and as I started to look up and down the card for who to get my money on, it became obvious which way I was going to go. Simply, this Saturday, I’m flying the Brazilian flag all night. It’s going to mean betting against some fighters I really like and would normally bet on, and a few of the Brazilian picks are shakier than others, but it’s the only way to go.

Main Card

I really like Stipe, and in normal circumstances, I’d be happy to get my money on him, but against Werdum in Brazil, backing the champ is a no brainer.

The co-main event is the only Brazil vs Brazil action, but Jacare is easy to get on against Vitor here. Should be a great fight, but Jacare all day.

I was going to back the Spider Goat to chalk up his first win since Stephan Bonner in 2012 (taking into account the Diaz win being overturned to a NC), but the damn injury bug bit again and he’s out. Get well soon Anderson.

Cyborg is surely the biggest favourite ever in a UFC fight, and I’m reluctant to put it in on principle. 1/14??

The most worrying bet on the main card is Shogun vs Corey Anderson. If this fight was happening anywhere else in the world, I’d be on Corey Anderson in a flash, but in Brazil, I think Shogun will find a way to win.

Prelims

The four Brazilians on this section of the card are all clear favourites. It breaks my heart to bet against Matt Brown, who’s one of my favourite fighters, but Damian Maia in Brazil must take this.

Fight Pass Prelims

Again, it’s the featured bout that worries me most of the opening three fights. The smart money should probably be on Pat Cummins, but Little Nog fighting in Brazil must be backed.

So the only question is, how to split them up to get maximum enjoyment from the card? My first thought was to just have three accumulators on the separate sections of the card, but if Shogun loses, my main card is dead early. Instead, I decided to put the two dicey bets together, the first and last three together, all the mid-card favourites, including the Cyborg fight ending in 1.5 rounds or under, and then for the hell of it, a big 10 fight accumulator, leaving out Little Nog, Shogun and Anderson Silva (if he gets sparked out to kill a massive bet like that, I’d be devastated).

Bet 1 – £5 returning £164.06

Werdum to beat Miocic

Souza to beat Belfort

Justino to beat Smith

Maia to beat Brown

Alves to beat Barerena

Santos to beat Marquardt

Lineker to beat Font

Trinaldo to beat Medeiros

Moraes to beat Chagas

Moicano to beat Tukhugov

Bet 2 – £5 returning £20.93

Maia to beat Brown

Alves to beat Barerena

Santos to beat Marquardt

Lineker to beat Font

Justino to beat Smith in under 1.5 rounds

Bet 3 – £5 returning £24.64

Trinaldo to beat Medeiros

Moraes to beat Chagas

Moicano to beat Tukhugov

Bet 4 – £5 returning £10.77 (rubbish having lost a fight from the treble)

Silva to beat Hall

Souza to beat Belfort

Werdum to beat Miocic

Bet 5 – £5 returning £36.09

Rua to beat Anderson

Nogueira to beat Cummins

bet 1

Remember, by clicking on the Paddy Power banner at the top of this page, opening an account, and doing your sports betting there, you are supporting MMA Flashback, for which I am very grateful.

MMA Flash back encourages you to gamble responsibly and within your limits. If gambling stops being fun, stop. If you feel you have a problem with gambling, seek help from GAMCARE. They can be reached on 0808 8020 133 or http://www.gamcare.org.uk.

I’ll be watching all the build up to this event, plus the exclusive prelims on UFC Fight Pass. There’s also a fantastic collection of original shows and an incredible fight library you can lose yourself in for weeks. To support MMA Flashback, you can click on the banner below and sign up today. You won’t regret it.


UFC Fight Night – Overeem vs Arlovski – Results

 468x60_AFF_Misc_MultiSport_BN_GBP
May 8, 2016 at Ahoy Rotterdam, Rotterdam, Netherlands.

To watch exclusive UFC fight cards, including exclusive prelims, hours of original programming, events from many other organisations and an enormous library of fights, click on the banner above and sign up for UFC Fight Pass. By doing so, you are also supporting MMA Flashback, for which I am hugely grateful.

Leon Edwards to beat Dominic Waters – win

Solid 30-27 win on all three judges’ cards. Edwards looks like an interesting prospect with a good all round game. One to watch for future cards.

Neil Seery to beat Kyoji Horiguchi – lose

Gutsy performance by Neil Seery but Horiguchi’s attack was just too fast and varied. Great fight, but no good for my first bet of the card.

Yan Cabral to beat Reza Medadi – lose

One round each going into the final round of a very close fight, Medadi landed a big uppercut that put Cabral out on his feet. Prelim bet falls at the first hurdle.

Magnus Cedenbald to beat Garreth McLellan – win

You couldn’t get much more contrast between two fighters’ walk-ins. My money is on the chilled Scandie over the intense South African. After a fairly uneventful 1st round, Cedenbald landed a big kick that stunned McLellan through his guard and put him away with the follow-up punches.

Chris Wade to beat Rustam Khabilov – lose

When Wade landed an eye-catching jumping kick that dropped Khabilov mid-way through the 2nd round, it looked like he might get the win, but the Russian survived it and ground out the rest of the fight to win by decision.

Karolina Kowalkiewicz to beat Heather Jo Clark – win

After a slow start, Kowalkiewicz found her rhythm and did enough to earn a decision will in this entertaining main card opener.

Nikita Krylov to beat Francimar Barroso – win

Barroso took Krylov into the 2nd round for only the second time in his career, but he got his third consecutive submission finish midway through the round, apparently submitting his fourth BJJ black belt in the process.

Germaine De Randamie to beat Anna Elmose – win

A brave effort by Elmose in her debut, but de Randamie is a killer. She folded up Elmose with a sickening knee to the body that we all felt.

Gunnar Nelson to beat Albert Tumenov – win

Gunni was out-striking Tumenov, but on the ground it was complete domination and only a matter of time before the submission came. Fantastic win by Gunner Nelson.

Stefan Struve to beat Antonio Silva – win

Bigfoot charged in and straight into the second fastest KO in UFC heavyweight history. Some complaints from Bigfoot, but there’s nothing wrong with that stoppage. He was done.

Alistair Overeem to beat Andre Arlovski – win

After nicking the 1st round with a late takedown and GnP, Overeem put Arlovski away with a jumping headkick followed by a vicious looping left.  Absolute killer.

So, after no luck in the prelims, I nailed the main card with a 6 fight accumulator. That’s the way to do it. Time to start looking forward to UFC 198 and seeing what’s there to be won.

Bet 1 – £5 returning £79.10

Alistair Overeem to beat Andre Arlovski

Stefan Struve to beat Antonio Silva vs

Gunnar Nelson to beat Albert Tumenov

Germaine De Randamie to beat Anna Elmose

Nikita Krylov to beat Francimar Barroso

Karolina Kowalkiewicz to beat Heather Jo Clark

Bet 2 – £5 returned £0.00

Chris Wade to beat Rustam Khabilov

Magnus Cedenbald to beat Garreth McLellan

Yan Cabral to beat Reza Medadi

Bet 3 – £5 returned £0.00

Neil Seery to beat Kyoji Horiguchi

Leon Edwards to beat Dominic Waters

settled

I do all my betting on Paddy Power because they offer a wide range of sports betting, including good coverage of MMA events. If you would like to place a bet on MMA or anything else, you would be greatly supporting the site by clicking on the banner above, creating a Paddy Power account and doing it there.

MMA Flash back encourages you to gamble responsibly and within your limits. If gambling stops being fun, stop. If you feel you have a problem with gambling, seek help from GAMCARE. They can be reached on 0808 8020 133 or http://www.gamcare.org.uk.


UFC Fight Night – Overeem vs Arlovski – Preview

468x60_AFF_Misc_MultiSport_BN_GBP
May 8, 2016 at Ahoy Rotterdam, Rotterdam, Netherlands.

Paddy Power offer a wide range of sports betting, including good coverage of MMA events. If you would like to place a bet on MMA or anything else, you would be greatly supporting the site by clicking on the banner above, creating a Paddy Power account and doing it there.

Alistair Overeem vs Andre Arlovski

Until he ran into Stipe Miocic at UFC 195, Andre Arlovski’s comeback winning streak had been very impressive. No shame in getting stopped by Miocic either, and I’m sure Andre hasn’t finished making an impact on the heavyweight division. That said, Overeem is putting a decent run of his own together, and I can’t see any way he loses his first fight in the Netherlands since 2009. Overeem is easy to back here.

Antonio Silva vs Stefan Struve

Big Foot is never in a dull fight, but he’s only tasted victory once in the last three years. Struve has really struggled over the last couple of years, with both a parade of extremely tough opponents, and trouble with a heart condition. He may not be the same fighter that put Stipe Miocic away in 2012, but fighting in front of Dutch fans against Big Foot will be huge for him. Happy to get on Sky Scraper to win.

Albert Tumenov vs Gunnar Nelson

Tumenov has put a very impressive 17-2 record together, including 11 KO/TKO finishes. He’s also never been stopped. However, he’s never faced a grappler of Gunnar Nelson’s calibre before and although he’s lost two of his last three, including a fascinating ground battle with Damien Maia, if Gunnar can get his hands on Tumenov, I fancy he could put the first submission loss on that record.

Germaine De Randamie vs Anna Elmose

These aren’t two fighters I know much about if I’m honest, so I would normally stay away from it with my money, but there are several factors that make De Randamie backable. She’s got more experience against higher level opposition, she’s training with champions at AKA and finally, as she’s Dutch she’ll have the crowd behind her. I may have a punt on her.

Nikita Krylov vs Francimar Barroso

With 19-4 and 18-4 records respectively, these two are hard to split. Brazilian Barroso is 3-1 since joining the UFC and has gone the distance in all four, although he does have plenty of finishes earlier record. Win or lose, Krylov rarely gets out of the first round and has both TKO and submission finishes since joining the big show. I’m leaning towards Krylov for another punt bet.

Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Heather Jo Clark

At 8-0, Kowalkiewicz has already taken out a TUF 20 competitor in Randa Markos. She’ll get a chance to add another in Clark and go 9-0 here.

When I pick my bets, I look at records, form, style match ups, and any other potential influencing factor, then I make my decision, but I DON’T look at the bookies odds until I’ve got my choices made. This time, with the exception of Gunnar Nelson, I’ve picked five favourites to win, so I’m going to be brave and go for a single six fight accumulator on the main card.

As the event is showing at a very Europe-friendly time, I’m also going to have a real finger in the air hunch bet accumulator on the under card fights (excluding the couple that have VERY late replacements), so I’ve got some skin in the game throughout. For gods’ sake don’t follow me into this one, at least not if you value your money.

Bet 1 – £5 returning £79.10

Alistair Overeem to beat Andre Arlovski

Stefan Struve to beat Antonio Silva

Gunnar Nelson to beat Albert Tumenov

Germaine De Randamie to beat Anna Elmose

Nikita Krylov to beat Francimar Barroso

Karolina Kowalkiewicz to beat Heather Jo Clark

Bet 2 – £5 returning £26.83

Chris Wade to beat Rustam Khabilov

Magnus Cedenbald to beat Garreth McLellan

Yan Cabral to beat Reza Madadi

Bet 3 – £5 returning £31.50

Neil Seery to beat Kyoji Horiguchi

Leon Edwards to beat Dominic Waters

bet 1Remember, by clicking on the Paddy Power banner at the top of this page, opening an account, and doing your sports betting there, you are supporting MMA Flashback, for which I am very grateful.

MMA Flash back encourages you to gamble responsibly and within your limits. If gambling stops being fun, stop. If you feel you have a problem with gambling, seek help from GAMCARE. They can be reached on 0808 8020 133 or http://www.gamcare.org.uk.

I’ll be watching all the build up to this event, plus the exclusive prelims on UFC Fight Pass. There’s also a fantastic collection of original shows and an incredible fight library you can lose yourself in for weeks. To support MMA Flashback, you can click on the banner below and sign up today. You won’t regret it.